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Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Chicago Blackhawks 6-5. The Blues came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zachary Sanford's goal at 13:35 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 54% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were CHI 30, STL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 2.7 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zachary Sanford (2 G, 1 A), 2. Robert Thomas (1 G, 2 A), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    Z. Sanford2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI210110210530
STLSTL112111414637

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(22)PPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    0:33
  2. CHI
    D. Keith(2)PPG
    slapxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    10:55
  3. CHI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    14:09

2nd period

  1. CHI
    P. Kane(28)PPG
    D. Keith (19), D. Kubalik (14)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    1:13
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    7:38

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.23win prob +26 pts
    3-3
    3:47
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +26 pts
    3-4
    4:03
  3. CHI
    wristxG 0.33win prob +27 pts
    4-4
    5:16
  4. CHI
    B. Saad(19)PPG
    D. Strome (22), K. Dach (12)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +29 pts
    5-4
    8:16
  5. STL
    slapxG 0.03win prob +31 pts
    5-5
    9:28
  6. STL
    Z. Sanford(15)PPG
    wristxG 0.11win prob +33 pts
    5-6
    13:35

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:11CHIConnor Murphy · Trippingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 3:25CHIMatthew Highmore · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Bozak2 min
  • 10:51STLMarco Scandella · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 19:28STLJordan Kyrou · High stickingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min

2nd

  • 17:05CHISlater Koekkoek · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 6:19STLColton Parayko · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min
  • 11:37CHIKirby Dach · Hookingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 17:09STLOskar Sundqvist · Trippingdrawn by Adam Boqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCHI goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Zachary Sanford, 3rd 13:35 — STL 54% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.44J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.35R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.23B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.15R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.14J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.13A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.13I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.13R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.12Z. Sanford · Goal · xG 0.11Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.10D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.09B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.08J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.08S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.07A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.07C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.06C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.06O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.05A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Sanford · Goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.03S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.03T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.02C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00
STL6 G · 4.1 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsSTL
2.65 G
All situations
6 G4.1
1.62 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.53 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI38%62%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.56 – 3.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsSTL
30
Shots on goal
37
52%
Faceoffs
48%
3/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
9
1
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD112040.10020—27:42
5C. MurphyD101-250.11012—24:25
88P. KaneR101-120.06000—22:35
6O. MaattaD000-200.00120—19:47
20B. SaadL101-160.7300010019:00
19J. ToewsC022010.020006418:44
12A. DeBrincatR000-120.13000—17:58
22R. CarpenterC000-100.002202017:57
68S. KoekkoekD000-110.13102—15:24
27A. BoqvistD000+110.04100—15:15
8D. KubalikL011010.05100—14:35
77K. DachC011-120.42012014:19
55N. SeelerD000000.00020—13:56
17D. StromeC011-110.191004712:42
91D. CaggiulaL000010.08200—12:17
64D. KampfC011020.221106311:02
36M. HighmoreC101010.33102009:46
92A. NylanderL011000.00000—08:26
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford(L)37316.8383.27-2.7357:50

Season series

STL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).