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Rangers at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
▸5
Carolina Hurricanes
2
FinalTV FS-CR, MSG 2·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesper Fast's goal at 9:48 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.6 to 2.9; shots on goal were NYR 36, CAR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 2 A), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jaccob Slavin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Slavin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR11021927536
CARCAR01118110229

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(27)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:41

2nd period

  1. CAR
    B. McGinn(7)
    J. Staal (14), J. Slavin (26)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    3:25
  2. NYR
    J. Fast(9)
    A. Panarin (50), J. Trouba (18)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    9:48
  3. NYR
    B. Skjei(8)
    R. Strome (37), M. Zibanejad (31)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    16:09

3rd period

  1. NYR
    A. Panarin(31)PPG
    M. Zibanejad (32), F. Chytil (9)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +7 pts
    4-1
    1:10
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(35)PPG
    A. Svechnikov (32), J. Slavin (27)
    deflectedxG 0.20win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    5:12
  3. NYR
    R. Strome(16)EN
    J. Trouba (19)
    backhandxG 0.65win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    18:12

Penalties

NYR 12 PIM·CAR 12 PIM

1st

  • 11:56NYRJacob Trouba · Interferencedrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 17:46NYRJacob Trouba · Interferencedrawn by Lucas Wallmark2 min

2nd

  • 1:14CARJordan Staal · Slashingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 4:23NYRJesper Fast · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 12:51CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 12:51NYRJacob Trouba · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 19:21CARJustin Williams · Slashingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

3rd

  • 3:33NYRJulien Gauthier · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:25CARWarren Foegele · Trippingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min
  • 12:40CARSebastian Aho · Trippingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 16:19NYRTony DeAngelo · Slashingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 16:19CARNino Niederreiter · Chargingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYR goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Jesper Fast, 2nd 9:48 — NYR 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.20T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.20A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.16J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.14A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.14B. McGinn · Goal · xG 0.13W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.13J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.13E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.13R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.13H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.12T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.10S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.09E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.06E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.05T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 2.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCAR
3.64 G
All situations
2 G2.9
2.03 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.01 G
Power play
1 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR51%49%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCAR
36
Shots on goal
29
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
1/4
12
Penalty minutes
12
23
Hits
16
24
Blocked shots
8
9
Giveaways
19
11
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
93M. ZibanejadC123+371.081302324:20
16R. StromeC112+350.801207721:49
55R. LindgrenD000+110.03010—21:27
23A. FoxD000-120.23130—20:35
10A. PanarinL112+120.18000—19:41
20C. KreiderL000+130.255305019:10
77T. DeAngeloD000+130.32022—18:42
8J. TroubaD022+220.02206—18:09
76B. SkjeiD101+220.09120—17:58
17J. FastR101+130.22312—17:25
18M. StaalD000+100.06110—17:05
89P. BuchnevichL000030.12210—15:12
21B. HowdenC000000.0002010010:32
24K. KakkoR000-100.00000—10:29
72F. ChytilC011010.050205010:19
48B. LemieuxL000010.10200—10:13
33P. Di GiuseppeL000000.00210—09:50
12J. GauthierR000010.05202—05:25
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)29272.9312.90+0.9060:00

Season series

NYR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).