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Winnipeg Jets at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV TSN3, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Ottawa Senators 5-1. The Senators scored first; the Jets answered. The Jets led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 4:52 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were WPG 34, OTT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Marcus Hogberg stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (3 G, 1 A), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G, 1 A), 3. Patrik Laine (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    P. Laine2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG212211111534
OTTOTT11101207130

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:50
  2. WPG
    K. Connor (33), P. Laine (32)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    16:35
  3. WPG
    N. Pionk (34), P. Laine (33)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    2-1
    17:46

2nd period

  1. WPG
    N. Pionk (35), A. Copp (14)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    4:52
  2. WPG
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    5:54

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.09
    5-1
    18:27

Penalties

WPG 35 PIM·OTT 49 PIM

1st

  • 15:32OTTChris Tierney · Hookingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 16:57OTTJayce Hawryluk · High stickingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 17:51OTTDrake Batherson · Fightingdrawn by Jansen Harkins5 min
  • 17:51WPGJansen Harkins · Fightingdrawn by Drake Batherson5 min
  • 18:00WPGJosh Morrissey · Slashingdrawn by Jayce Hawryluk2 min

2nd

  • 10:41WPGNeal Pionk · Hookingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 17:43OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau · Interferencedrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min

3rd

  • 0:54WPGDmitry Kulikov · Holdingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
  • 6:15OTTAnthony Duclair · Hookingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 6:27WPGPatrik Laine · Trippingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min
  • 11:23OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:23OTTScott Sabourin · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:28OTTBrady Tkachuk · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:28OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Tucker Poolman2 min
  • 17:28OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Tucker Poolman2 min
  • 17:28WPGTucker Poolman · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:28WPGTucker Poolman · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 17:28OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau · Misconductdrawn by Mason Appleton10 min
  • 17:28WPGMason Appleton · Misconductdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalWPG goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 2nd 4:52 — WPG 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.20T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.15A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.12B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.12N. Paul · Goal · xG 0.11A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.08C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.08N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.08A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.07C. White · Missed · xG 0.06C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.05S. Sabourin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.04N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.04A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.04T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.03N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hawryluk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.02C. Goloubef · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.02T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.02T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.02T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.02A. Englund · On goal · xG 0.02A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.02S. Sabourin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01C. Goloubef · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01
OTT1 G · 2.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsOTT
3.35 G
All situations
1 G2.2
2.12 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
1.23 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG67%33%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.21 – 2.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsOTT
34
Shots on goal
30
52%
Faceoffs
48%
3/6
Power play
0/4
35
Penalty minutes
49
18
Hits
27
26
Blocked shots
10
16
Giveaways
14
9
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55M. ScheifeleC314+150.850305720:42
81K. ConnorL112+130.57010—20:40
4N. PionkD022+150.15322—20:24
3T. PoolmanD000010.102412—20:03
88N. BeaulieuD000000.00210—19:21
29P. LaineL022020.18022—19:12
26B. WheelerR011+140.25200—18:59
44J. MorrisseyD011030.10042—18:42
12D. DeMeloD000000.02030—18:36
9A. CoppC011010.240106918:16
7D. KulikovD000+100.00132—17:04
27N. EhlersL101040.50100—14:56
21N. ShoreC000000.002003314:17
28J. RoslovicC000030.261002512:22
82M. AppletonC000020.020010011:11
57G. BourqueL000000.00410—10:13
38L. ShawR011010.01010—09:18
58J. HarkinsC000000.02005007:44
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30L. Brossoit(W)30291.9672.21+1.2160:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).