Washington Capitals at Utah Mammoth
Recap
written from the game dataThe Utah Mammoth beat the Washington Capitals 3-1. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Phil Kessel's goal at 5:25 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 54% to 79%. Expected goals were close — WSH 3.1, ARI 3.0; shots on goal were WSH 37, ARI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Antti Raanta stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Antti Raanta (36 saves, .973), 2. Christian Dvorak (1 G), 3. Phil Kessel (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
0-17:06
1-117:10
3rd period
1-25:25
1-319:32
Penalties
1st
- 1:54
Vinnie Hinostroza · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 11:52
Lars Eller · Holdingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
2nd
- 0:28
Brad Richardson · Trippingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
- 2:56
Tom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
3rd
- 3:28
Michal Kempny · Trippingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
- 10:31
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Phil Kessel, 3rd 5:25 — 54% → 79%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.11 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.0
- 1.61 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.7
- 1.40 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 2.22
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 37
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 30
- Hits
- 23
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 11
- Giveaways
- 12
- 3
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
ARI leads 2-0
4@
3SOFinal
1@
3this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
