Skip to content

Washington Capitals at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV ESPN+, FS-A·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Washington Capitals 3-1. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Phil Kessel's goal at 5:25 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 54% to 79%. Expected goals were close — WSH 3.1, ARI 3.0; shots on goal were WSH 37, ARI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Antti Raanta stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Antti Raanta (36 saves, .973), 2. Christian Dvorak (1 G), 3. Phil Kessel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    A. Raanta36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    ARI
    C. Dvorak1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    P. Kessel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH01419014137
ARIARI01011129330

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    7:06
  2. WSH
    T. Boyd (7), R. Panik (7)
    wristxG 0.37win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    17:10

3rd period

  1. ARI
    P. Kessel(13)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +25 pts
    1-2
    5:25
  2. ARI
    L. Crouse(14)EN
    backhandxG 0.75win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:32

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·ARI 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:54ARIVinnie Hinostroza · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:52WSHLars Eller · Holdingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

2nd

  • 0:28ARIBrad Richardson · Trippingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 2:56WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

3rd

  • 3:28WSHMichal Kempny · Trippingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 10:31ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalWSH goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Phil Kessel, 3rd 5:25 — ARI 54% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.75D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.22D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.21C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.16T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.14C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.13L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.12L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.10D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kessel · Goal · xG 0.08C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.07V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.06C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.05B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.04L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.04C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.03C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hjalmarsson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.02C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.02D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.00C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.00C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI3 G · 3.0 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsARI
3.11 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
1.40 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH64%36%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsARI
37
Shots on goal
30
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
20
11
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-130.06220—25:45
8A. OvechkinL000-180.69100—23:52
9D. OrlovD000+110.04300—22:42
43T. WilsonR000-130.29712—22:32
19N. BackstromC000-130.200104321:03
6M. KempnyD000040.07002—19:03
13J. VranaL000-210.13000—18:09
3N. JensenD000+110.04120—17:55
20L. EllerC000-120.161025416:30
77T. OshieR000-230.612104016:25
33R. GudasD000-110.02120—15:18
72T. BoydC011+110.182005414:13
62C. HagelinL101+110.37010—13:06
14R. PanikR011+110.0100010011:28
34J. SiegenthalerD000-100.00430—11:23
21G. HathawayR000010.08210—10:29
26N. DowdC000030.153005509:09
28B. LeipsicL000000.00110—06:55
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(L)29272.9312.24+0.2458:06

Season series

ARI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).