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Boston Bruins at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV NBC, TVAS·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Boston Bruins 3-1. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andreas Athanasiou's goal at 7:10 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 56% to 81%. Expected goals were close — BOS 2.8, DET 2.7; shots on goal were BOS 40, DET 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 0.8 goals below expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 39 of 40 (.975), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Bernier (39 saves, .975), 2. Tyler Bertuzzi (1 A), 3. Brad Marchand.

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Bernier39 saves, .975
  2. ★★
    DET
    T. Bertuzzi1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS012014114140
DETDET061727320

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    2:07

3rd period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +23 pts
    1-1
    0:33
  2. DET
    wristxG 0.07win prob +25 pts
    1-2
    7:10
  3. DET
    C. Ehn (2), F. Hronek (19)
    wristxG 0.91win prob +2 pts
    1-3
    19:31

Penalties

BOS 6 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:01BOSBrad Marchand · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Bernier2 min
  • 10:55BOSSean Kuraly · Trippingdrawn by Valtteri Filppula2 min
  • 13:15DETTrevor Daley · Holdingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min
  • 13:57DETValtteri Filppula · Trippingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
  • 16:10DETJustin Abdelkader · Trippingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

2nd

  • 17:04DETPatrik Nemeth · Holdingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min

3rd

  • 6:01BOSJake DeBrusk · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Daley2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalBOS goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Andreas Athanasiou, 3rd 7:10 — DET 56% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.91T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.60D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.18R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hirose · On goal · xG 0.08A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.07A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.06D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06B. Perlini · Goal · xG 0.06J. Abdelkader · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hirose · Missed · xG 0.05A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.05A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.05A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.03M. Green · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Biega · Missed · xG 0.02M. Green · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hirose · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hirose · On goal · xG 0.02A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.02A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.01A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 2.7 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsDET
2.81 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.91 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS80%20%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 1.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsDET
40
Shots on goal
20
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
23
10
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000+110.08130—22:08
47T. KrugD101-160.22010—21:58
46D. KrejciC000-200.311105020:54
63B. MarchandL000-140.7400210020:13
33Z. CharaD000020.04010—18:47
88D. PastrnakR011-140.22000—18:46
37P. BergeronC011030.310005018:14
25B. CarloD000-140.08410—17:57
48M. GrzelcykD000010.09020—17:21
13C. CoyleC000030.081006016:46
74J. DeBruskL000-110.00002—15:53
27J. MooreD000030.17100—15:10
10A. BjorkL000010.09000—12:41
52S. KuralyC000000.064023312:30
14C. WagnerR000020.1620010012:29
43D. HeinenL000030.08000—12:02
83K. KuhlmanC000000.00000011:46
26P. LindholmC000020.100106710:27
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(L)19172.8951.18-0.8258:49

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).