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Flames at Canucks
NHL

Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸6
Vancouver Canucks
2
FinalTV CBC, SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 6-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dillon Dube's goal at 2:51 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 47% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.5 to 2.8; shots on goal were CGY 32, VAN 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. David Rittich stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dillon Dube (1 G, 2 A), 2. Johnny Gaudreau (2 A), 3. Mikael Backlund (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Dube1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Backlund2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY29112311632
VANVAN2120708227

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    T. Pearson(16)
    Q. Hughes (33), B. Horvat (28)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:34
  2. CGY
    D. Ryan(10)
    M. Lucic (8), D. Dube (7)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    4:20
  3. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(18)
    J. Gaudreau (29), M. Backlund (19)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    12:08
  4. VAN
    A. Gaudette(9)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    18:13

2nd period

  1. CGY
    D. Dube(5)
    D. Ryan (17)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    2:51

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Lucic(5)PPG
    M. Backlund (20), D. Dube (8)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    4-2
    6:48
  2. CGY
    S. Monahan(17)
    J. Gaudreau (30), E. Lindholm (20)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    16:01
  3. CGY
    T. Rieder(3)EN
    N. Hanifin (10)
    wristxG 0.81
    6-2
    17:49

Penalties

CGY 15 PIM·VAN 11 PIM

1st

  • 0:35CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by J.T. Miller5 min
  • 0:35VANJ.T. Miller · Fightingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk5 min
  • 12:28CGYTJ Brodie · Slashingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 15:57CGYJohnny Gaudreau · Interferencedrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min

2nd

  • 12:48CGYMikael Backlund · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Markstrom2 min
  • 12:48VANJacob Markstrom · Roughingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 15:53CGYMilan Lucic · Roughingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 15:53VANAntoine Roussel · Roughingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min

3rd

  • 4:48VANElias Pettersson · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 8:28CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Trippingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCGY goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Dillon Dube, 2nd 2:51 — CGY 47% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.17B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.16B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.15A. Gaudette · Goal · xG 0.15A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.13B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.13L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.13B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.12B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.11J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.10A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.09T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.08T. Schaller · Missed · xG 0.07B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06B. Sutter · Missed · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.05A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.05B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.04J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.04B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.03B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.03J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN2 G · 2.8 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVAN
4.55 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.54 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY50%50%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVAN
32
Shots on goal
27
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/1
Power play
0/3
15
Penalty minutes
11
16
Hits
18
19
Blocked shots
11
3
Giveaways
5
1
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7T. BrodieD000+310.03042—24:28
55N. HanifinD011020.35110—23:19
4R. AnderssonD000030.22020—22:17
26M. StoneD000+130.09240—21:15
28E. LindholmC011010.064102019:58
13J. GaudreauL022+120.12002—19:28
23S. MonahanC101020.352204418:09
58O. KylingtonD000+100.00110—16:26
11M. BacklundC022030.350025015:33
88A. MangiapaneL000-110.06012—14:38
19M. TkachukL101050.63105—14:33
77M. JankowskiL000+110.020104013:48
10D. RyanC112+210.050006912:20
16T. RiederL101+131.86000—11:50
29D. DubeC123+220.06000010:51
17M. LucicL112+210.10402—10:29
24T. HamonicD000+110.15020—10:25
93S. BennettC000+100.0110010010:20
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(W)27252.9262.82+0.8259:54

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).