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San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV NBCSN, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-3. The Sharks came back from two goals down. The Sharks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Maxim Letunov's goal at 7:07 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 2.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were SJS 31, EDM 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Aaron Dell stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.5 goals below expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 3.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Timo Meier (2 G, 1 A), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G), 3. Erik Karlsson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    T. Meier2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    E. Karlsson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS21521026631
EDMEDM21201019331

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:04
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    5:20
  3. SJS
    B. Burns (24), B. Dillon (13)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    11:01
  4. SJS
    E. Kane(21)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    2-2
    18:19

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.32win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    7:07
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    12:31

3rd period

  1. SJS
    snapxG 0.06win prob +6 pts
    5-2
    5:05
  2. EDM
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    6:33
  3. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +3 pts
    6-3
    12:19

Penalties

SJS 4 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:15EDMDarnell Nurse · Throwing equipment2 min
  • 13:21SJSBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 16:33EDMOscar Klefbom · High sticking double minordrawn by Melker Karlsson4 min

2nd

  • 14:37SJSPatrick Marleau · Hookingdrawn by Oscar Klefbom2 min
  • 14:37EDMOscar Klefbom · Embellishmentdrawn by Patrick Marleau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalSJS goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Maxim Letunov, 2nd 7:07 — SJS 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.43C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.20G. Haas · On goal · xG 0.18R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.16J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.12K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.10E. Bear · Goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.10K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.08S. Gagner · Goal · xG 0.07S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.06R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.05J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.05O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05W. Lagesson · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.03W. Lagesson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.02M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.01W. Lagesson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01T. Benson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01W. Lagesson · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM3 G · 2.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsEDM
2.96 G
All situations
3 G2.5
2.15 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS57%43%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsEDM
31
Shots on goal
31
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/3
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
22
12
Blocked shots
16
14
Giveaways
12
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD022+220.38122—27:37
65E. KarlssonD011+330.22200—24:18
4B. DillonD011+210.03410—24:11
9E. KaneL101040.4231010023:10
44M. VlasicD011+320.05120—20:57
23B. GoodrowC000010.124102120:26
12P. MarleauC000030.25212018:48
19J. ThorntonC022+100.000005018:41
62K. LabancR112+220.32100—18:26
28T. MeierR213+180.55210—17:43
11S. NoesenR101+110.07000—12:42
68M. KarlssonC011+110.00000011:12
70A. TrueC011+110.063005010:59
51R. SimekD000-300.00100—10:39
38M. FerraroD000-300.03120—10:22
7D. GambrellC000-100.052006009:04
20M. SorensenL011000.03000—08:47
84M. LetunovC101020.3201010008:23
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30A. Dell(W)31283.9032.47-0.5359:31

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).