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Hurricanes at Blues
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
St. Louis Blues
▸6
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-MW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Carolina Hurricanes 6-3. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zachary Sanford's goal at 1:27 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were CAR 28, STL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 20 of 26 (.769), 3.4 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Schenn (2 G, 1 A), 2. Zachary Sanford (2 G), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    B. Schenn2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    Z. Sanford2 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR0717214328
STLSTL1947110626

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    S. Blais(6)
    J. Faulk (10), I. Barbashev (14)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:44

2nd period

  1. STL
    Z. Sanford(7)
    J. Bouwmeester (7), C. Parayko (12)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    1:27
  2. STL
    C. Parayko(3)
    B. Schenn (26), R. Thomas (22)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    4:50
  3. CAR
    S. Aho(27)
    W. Foegele (15), A. Svechnikov (27)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    6:05
  4. STL
    B. Schenn(19)PPG
    J. Schwartz (26), R. O'Reilly (36)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    7:31
  5. STL
    B. Schenn(20)PPG
    J. Schwartz (27), R. O'Reilly (37)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    11:54

3rd period

  1. STL
    Z. Sanford(8)
    J. Bouwmeester (8), R. O'Reilly (38)
    slapxG 0.04
    1-6
    10:41
  2. CAR
    B. McGinn(6)
    J. Staal (12), J. Slavin (22)
    deflectedxG 0.11
    2-6
    12:31
  3. CAR
    M. Necas(13)PPG
    R. Dzingel (20), J. Gardiner (12)
    slapxG 0.07
    3-6
    16:35

Penalties

CAR 10 PIM·STL 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:42STLBrayden Schenn · Holding the stickdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 15:35STLVince Dunn · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 15:35CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 17:09CARSebastian Aho · Holdingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

2nd

  • 1:52STLVince Dunn · Hookingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 7:19CARJordan Martinook · Slashingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 10:58CARJake Gardiner · Hookingdrawn by David Perron2 min

3rd

  • 7:42STLSammy Blais · Trippingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 15:03STLAlexander Steen · Hookingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 17:40CARMartin Necas · Slashingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCAR goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Zachary Sanford, 2nd 1:27 — STL 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.32I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.30B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.18T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.18J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.15J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.13D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.11J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.10B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.09T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.08S. Blais · Goal · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.07S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.07A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Sanford · Goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Sanford · Goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.01
STL6 G · 2.6 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsSTL
2.33 G
All situations
6 G2.6
1.82 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.41 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR46%54%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsSTL
28
Shots on goal
26
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/4
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
11
Hits
19
3
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD011020.05100—25:15
22B. PesceD000-110.09000—20:33
51J. GardinerD011-120.06002—20:09
20S. AhoC101040.421022518:42
56E. HaulaL000-120.210003317:59
86T. TeravainenC000010.24000017:47
11J. StaalC011020.122005017:19
57T. van RiemsdykD000000.00000—17:15
37A. SvechnikovR011000.00212—15:40
6J. EdmundsonD000-110.01110—15:38
13W. FoegeleL011-210.00000—15:27
21N. NiederreiterR000010.10100—15:14
88M. NecasC101-120.2600210015:06
14J. WilliamsR000+120.11000—14:18
23B. McGinnL101-220.20100—14:16
4H. FleuryD000-100.00110—13:58
18R. DzingelC011050.40000013:18
48J. MartinookL000-100.001026005:02
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)26206.7692.61-3.3959:56

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).