St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the St. Louis Blues 4-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 4:13 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were STL 32, EDM 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 1.3 goals below expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G), 2. Adam Larsson, 3. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (2 A).
Three stars
- ★L. Draisaitl2 G

- ★★A. Larsson

- ★★★R. Nugent-Hopkins2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-15:31
0-25:48
2nd period
1-210:57
3rd period
2-22:12
2-34:13
2-418:19
Penalties
1st
- 9:11
Darnell Nurse · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min
2nd
- 1:50
Carl Gunnarsson · Holdingdrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min
- 6:07
Oscar Klefbom · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
3rd
- 17:00
Alex Chiasson · Trippingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 3rd 4:13 — 52% → 78%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.12 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.5
- 1.52 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.6
- 0.60 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 1.73
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 35
- Hits
- 22
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 21
- 10
- Giveaways
- 14
- 1
- Takeaways
- 14
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
