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Golden Knights at Senators
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Ottawa Senators 4-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Stone's goal at 18:55 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 70% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.1 to 2.1; shots on goal were VGK 43, OTT 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 33 of 35 (.943); Craig Anderson stopped 39 of 43 (.907), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (1 G, 1 A), 2. Paul Stastny (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Brown (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Stone1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    P. Stastny1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. Brown1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK11711927443
OTTOTT01009216235

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    P. Stastny(13)
    M. Stone (28), N. Schmidt (15)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:34

2nd period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(17)
    M. Pacioretty (26), P. Stastny (10)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    18:55

3rd period

  1. VGK
    C. Stephenson(9)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    5:50
  2. OTT
    V. Namestnikov(9)
    C. Tierney (17), C. Brown (20)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    6:50
  3. VGK
    R. Reaves(6)
    W. Carrier (9)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    9:23
  4. OTT
    C. Brown(9)PPG
    C. White (9), T. Chabot (23)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +2 pts
    4-2
    12:30

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·OTT 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:28OTTConnor Brown · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min

2nd

  • 3:43VGKTomas Nosek · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min

3rd

  • 4:25VGKReilly Smith · Hookingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 11:08VGKNate Schmidt · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 16:39VGKReilly Smith · Hookingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalVGK goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Stone, 2nd 18:55 — VGK 70% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.19T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.16B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.12V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.11D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.07D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.07T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.07M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.05C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.05T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.05C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chlapik · On goal · xG 0.04T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.04A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.03A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.03F. Chlapik · Missed · xG 0.03M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.03A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.03F. Chlapik · Missed · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.02F. Chlapik · Missed · xG 0.02M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.1 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsOTT
3.14 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.63 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK66%34%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.07 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsOTT
43
Shots on goal
35
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
26
Hits
27
12
Blocked shots
15
10
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22N. HoldenD000+350.29100—23:49
27S. TheodoreD000010.07200—23:45
3B. McNabbD000+110.03430—22:48
88N. SchmidtD011+320.03012—18:26
20C. StephensonC101+120.311105518:18
61M. StoneR112+320.15010—17:34
5D. EngellandD000050.18130—17:09
19R. SmithR000030.26004—16:38
21C. EakinC000-100.000005315:56
81J. MarchessaultR000040.15000—15:45
26P. StastnyC112+230.382005615:01
67M. PaciorettyL011+240.25110—14:22
92T. NosekL000-120.12202—14:11
14N. HagueD000-140.19310—14:03
89A. TuchR000-120.17100—12:50
10N. RoyC000+110.191003311:19
28W. CarrierL011+100.08500—10:50
75R. ReavesR101+120.2221010009:54
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)35332.9432.14+0.1460:00

Season series

VGK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).