Philadelphia Flyers at St. Louis Blues
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3 in overtime, Jakub Voracek scoring at 3:33. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakub Voracek's goal at 3:33 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.5, STL 2.6; shots on goal were PHI 25, STL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Jordan Binnington stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jakub Voracek (1 G), 2. Alexander Steen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Michael Raffl (1 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Voracek1 G

- ★★A. Steen1 G, 1 A

- ★★★M. Raffl1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-114:24
2nd period
1-112:43
2-115:43
3rd period
3-10:26
3-210:35
3-313:39
Overtime
4-33:33
Penalties
1st
- 13:09
Matt Niskanen · Holdingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
- 15:59
Michael Raffl · Trippingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
2nd
- 10:06
Brayden Schenn · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Brian Elliott2 min
- 12:43
Ivan Barbashev · Roughingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
- 12:43
Travis Sanheim · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
- 20:00
David Perron · Cross checkingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
3rd
- 1:03
Michael Raffl · Holdingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
- 1:22
Kevin Hayes · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
- 7:01
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · Slashingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
- 15:36
served by T. Konecny · Too many men on the ice2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jakub Voracek, OT 3:33 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.54 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.6
- 2.13 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.8
- 0.11 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.8
- 0.30 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.58
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/6
- 14
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 26
- Hits
- 17
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 5
- Giveaways
- 5
- 12
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
