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Philadelphia Flyers at St. Louis Blues

Final/OTTV NBCSN, TVAS·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3 in overtime, Jakub Voracek scoring at 3:33. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakub Voracek's goal at 3:33 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.5, STL 2.6; shots on goal were PHI 25, STL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Jordan Binnington stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jakub Voracek (1 G), 2. Alexander Steen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Michael Raffl (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    J. Voracek1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    A. Steen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    M. Raffl1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI08291711425
STLSTL1140821100333

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    J. Faulk(4)PPG
    A. Steen (10), R. Thomas (18)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    14:24

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    12:43
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.17win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    15:43

3rd period

  1. PHI
    T. Konecny(15)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    0:26
  2. STL
    B. Schenn (24), D. Perron (27)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    10:35
  3. STL
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +36 pts
    3-3
    13:39

Overtime

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    3:33

Penalties

PHI 14 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:09PHIMatt Niskanen · Holdingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 15:59PHIMichael Raffl · Trippingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min

2nd

  • 10:06STLBrayden Schenn · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Brian Elliott2 min
  • 12:43STLIvan Barbashev · Roughingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 12:43PHITravis Sanheim · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 20:00STLDavid Perron · Cross checkingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

3rd

  • 1:03PHIMichael Raffl · Holdingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 1:22PHIKevin Hayes · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 7:01PHINicolas Aube-Kubel · Slashingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 15:36PHIserved by T. Konecny · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalPHI goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Jakub Voracek, OT 3:33 — PHI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.24R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.11J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.11V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.11J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.11A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.10A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.10J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.07A. Steen · Goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04M. MacEachern · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.01J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 2.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsSTL
2.54 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.13 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.11 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI49%51%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsSTL
25
Shots on goal
33
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
1/6
14
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
17
11
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
5
12
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD011+120.06410—27:20
6T. SanheimD000-100.04042—24:59
15M. NiskanenD011020.05202—24:41
14S. CouturierC022+220.312006321:42
13K. HayesR000-240.482026719:41
28C. GirouxR011-100.251004818:36
12M. RafflL101+130.23304—17:31
93J. VoracekR101+220.23000—17:24
5P. MyersD000-120.06220—17:24
8R. HaggD011+110.03300—17:16
21S. LaughtonC101+130.361104016:32
11T. KonecnyR101-130.21000—16:05
25J. van RiemsdykL011-100.00000—12:00
18T. PitlickC011+100.00120011:52
62N. Aube-KubelR000-100.05212—11:05
59M. FriedmanD000+100.00100—10:24
82C. BunnamanC000+100.072002507:20
44C. StewartR000010.09000—05:32
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(W)33303.9092.62-0.3863:33

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).