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Maple Leafs at Panthers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
4
Florida Panthers
▸8
FinalTV NHLN, FS-F·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 8-4. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 7-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 3:47 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.9 to 3.1; shots on goal were TOR 47, FLA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Michael Hutchinson stopped 13 of 17 (.765), 2.0 goals below expected; Chris Driedger stopped 43 of 47 (.915). Three stars: 1. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G, 1 A), 2. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Vincent Trocheck (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    V. Trocheck1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR014317116447
FLAFLA31141018829

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    J. Brown(3)
    B. Connolly (12), V. Trocheck (20)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:49
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(14)
    M. Pysyk (5), C. Sceviour (9)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    3:47
  3. FLA
    M. Hoffman(17)
    D. Toninato (4), F. Vatrano (10)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    13:39

2nd period

  1. FLA
    M. Matheson(5)
    V. Trocheck (21), B. Connolly (13)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    0:49
  2. FLA
    F. Vatrano(10)SHG
    A. Barkov (34)
    snapxG 0.31win prob +2 pts
    0-5
    2:25
  3. TOR
    Z. Hyman(11)
    M. Rielly (24), K. Kapanen (18)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    3:30
  4. FLA
    V. Trocheck(6)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.06win prob +2 pts
    1-6
    5:46
  5. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(18)
    A. Barkov (35), R. Stillman (4)
    backhandxG 0.09
    1-7
    12:37
  6. TOR
    M. Marner(12)
    Z. Hyman (7), T. Barrie (20)
    slapxG 0.14
    2-7
    13:00
  7. TOR
    J. Tavares(17)
    W. Nylander (20), A. Kerfoot (11)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +1 pts
    3-7
    15:26

3rd period

  1. TOR
    M. Marner(13)
    Z. Hyman (8)
    slapxG 0.28win prob +2 pts
    4-7
    0:34
  2. FLA
    M. Hoffman(18)PPG
    J. Huberdeau (43), E. Dadonov (17)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    4-8
    4:33

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:06FLANoel Acciari · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 1:29FLAMike Hoffman · Holdingdrawn by Travis Dermott2 min

3rd

  • 2:06TORCody Ceci · Trippingdrawn by Joshua Brown2 min
  • 4:10TORJustin Holl · Trippingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 15:36TORCody Ceci · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Frank Vatrano0 min
  • 18:40FLABrett Connolly · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalTOR goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, 1st 3:47 — FLA 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.31B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.25F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.24A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.23J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.19F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.15J. Brown · Goal · xG 0.15M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.12M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.12M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.08E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.06B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.05B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.05M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sceviour · Missed · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.03E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · Goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.03B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.02B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01
FLA8 G · 3.1 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsFLA
3.94 G
All situations
8 G3.1
3.54 G
Even strength
6 G2.3
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR62%38%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.88 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsFLA
47
Shots on goal
29
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
6
Hits
18
4
Blocked shots
18
9
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD011-130.14020—21:03
11Z. HymanL123+220.241005020:08
94T. BarrieD011-210.08010—19:56
16M. MarnerR202050.72000—19:28
23T. DermottD000020.03000—19:12
34A. MatthewsC000060.560005019:05
3J. HollD000-120.08102—19:05
52M. MarincinD000-110.03010—17:59
83C. CeciD000-120.11202—17:46
15A. KerfootC011-230.211005017:43
91J. TavaresC101-360.371005716:58
24K. KapanenR011020.29000—16:26
88W. NylanderR011-490.73000—16:21
47P. EngvallL000000.070006714:27
19J. SpezzaC000010.080005712:10
18A. JohnssonL000020.15000—11:06
77A. BrooksC000-100.00000009:48
33F. GauthierC000-100.000004008:56
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Hutchinson(L)17134.7652.03-1.9739:11
31F. Andersen1284.6671.10-2.9020:49

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).