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Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FS-N, FS-WI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Minnesota Wild 4-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 12:11 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were VAN 30, MIN 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Elias Pettersson (1 G), 2. J.T. Miller (2 A), 3. Marcus Foligno (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. Miller2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Foligno1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0931417430
MINMIN0319012124

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. VAN
    Q. Hughes (28), J. Miller (27)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    9:20
  2. MIN
    L. Kunin (10), J. Brodin (17)
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    11:58
  3. VAN
    wristxG 0.32win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    12:11
  4. VAN
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    13:23

3rd period

  1. VAN
    B. Horvat(15)EN
    backhandxG 0.44
    4-1
    19:54

Penalties

VAN 10 PIM·MIN 16 PIM

1st

  • 9:45VANAntoine Roussel · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Devan Dubnyk2 min
  • 9:52MINMikko Koivu · Trippingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
  • 11:19MINJordan Greenway · Elbowingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 13:21MINJonas Brodin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 2:10MINJason Zucker · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 2:48MINRyan Suter · Slashingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 5:56VANAntoine Roussel · Holdingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 7:12VANTim Schaller · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Suter2 min
  • 8:30MINserved by K. Fiala · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:41VANJake Virtanen · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikko Koivu2 min

3rd

  • 3:17VANBo Horvat · Illegal check to headdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 4:23MINJason Zucker · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
  • 7:10MINLuke Kunin · Holdingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVAN goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Bo Horvat, 2nd 12:11 — VAN 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.28M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.24E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.22M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.16E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.15R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.14E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.13R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.13C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.12E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.12M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.11Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.10J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.10R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.09R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.09L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.08R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.08J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.06J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.06M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.06M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.05C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.05M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.01R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN1 G · 3.1 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsMIN
2.83 G
All situations
1 G3.1
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.61 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN37%63%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsMIN
30
Shots on goal
24
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/8
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
16
6
Hits
16
16
Blocked shots
12
1
Giveaways
4
8
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011-120.08000—23:40
57T. MyersD000+110.02120—21:08
8C. TanevD011000.00100—20:36
23A. EdlerD000+210.05140—19:10
53B. HorvatC202+251.000124418:55
40E. PetterssonC101060.57020018:16
9J. MillerC022020.471107318:07
6B. BoeserR000010.12010—17:13
70T. PearsonL011+230.18000—17:07
26A. RousselL000000.01024—15:44
18J. VirtanenR000030.1400210014:56
83J. BeagleC000+110.030106914:23
88A. GaudetteR000000.000006014:09
5O. FantenbergD000+110.01110—13:41
51T. StecherD101+130.08100—12:24
21L. ErikssonL000+100.01000—12:00
59T. SchallerL000010.01002—09:44
64T. MotteC000000.00010008:47
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)24231.9583.10+2.1060:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).