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Canucks at Sabres
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
▸6
Buffalo Sabres
3
FinalTV MSG-B, SN·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Buffalo Sabres 6-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Boeser's goal at 6:24 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were VAN 35, BUF 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.8 goals below expected; Carter Hutton stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brock Boeser (2 G), 2. Bo Horvat (1 G, 1 A), 3. Quinn Hughes (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Boeser2 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    B. Horvat1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN11319413635
BUFBUF1919110328

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    B. Montour(3)
    R. Dahlin (22), J. Eichel (30)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:44
  2. VAN
    B. Boeser(15)
    T. Stecher (6), J. Miller (26)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:33

2nd period

  1. VAN
    B. Horvat(13)
    T. Pearson (20), Q. Hughes (27)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:44
  2. BUF
    S. Reinhart(15)PPG
    R. Dahlin (23), J. Eichel (31)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    6:25

3rd period

  1. VAN
    J. Miller(16)
    E. Pettersson (27)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +25 pts
    3-2
    1:17
  2. BUF
    Z. Girgensons(7)
    K. Okposo (5), R. Ristolainen (16)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +26 pts
    3-3
    3:28
  3. VAN
    B. Boeser(16)
    C. Tanev (11)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +29 pts
    4-3
    6:24
  4. VAN
    J. Virtanen(13)
    T. Motte (2), A. Gaudette (11)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    5-3
    7:38
  5. VAN
    L. Eriksson(4)EN
    B. Horvat (25), T. Pearson (21)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    17:48

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·BUF 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:17BUFRasmus Ristolainen · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 6:05VANJay Beagle · Holdingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min

2nd

  • 6:07VANJay Beagle · Holdingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 9:34VANElias Pettersson · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Asplund2 min
  • 11:01BUFserved by K. Okposo · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalVAN goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Brock Boeser, 3rd 6:24 — VAN 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.48S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.18J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.17M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.12C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.09L. Pilut · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Girgensons · Goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.07M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.06R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.05S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.05J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.03M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.01
BUF3 G · 2.2 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsBUF
2.65 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.35 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN66%34%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 1.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsBUF
35
Shots on goal
28
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
11
Hits
15
12
Blocked shots
6
0
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. MyersD000+140.05020—24:01
43Q. HughesD011+230.16000—22:49
23A. EdlerD000+210.04220—21:23
8C. TanevD011+100.00010—19:24
53B. HorvatC112+230.531105819:15
9J. MillerC112+230.121106218:15
21L. ErikssonL101+110.17000—17:06
70T. PearsonL022+210.08200—16:48
6B. BoeserR202+480.52010—15:08
5O. FantenbergD000020.07100—15:06
88A. GaudetteR011030.331005014:56
40E. PetterssonC011+320.14002014:41
18J. VirtanenR101030.18010—14:15
51T. StecherD011+200.01110—13:51
59T. SchallerL000-100.00110—13:45
26A. RousselL000000.0000010013:30
83J. BeagleC000-110.130043611:12
64T. MotteC011+100.07110010:38
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)28253.8932.20-0.8059:39

Season series

VAN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).