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Predators at Blackhawks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸5
Chicago Blackhawks
2
FinalTV NBCSN, FS-TN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colin Blackwell's goal at 8:22 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were NSH 30, CHI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 29 of 31 (.935); Corey Crawford stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Pekka Rinne (29 saves, .935), 2. Colin Blackwell (1 G), 3. Jonathan Toews (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    P. Rinne29 saves, .935
  2. ★★
    NSH
    C. Blackwell1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    J. Toews2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH31201325530
CHICHI01017114231

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(10)
    R. Josi (32), F. Forsberg (16)
    deflectedxG 0.32win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:16
  2. NSH
    C. Blackwell(1)
    Y. Trenin (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    8:22
  3. NSH
    M. Duchene(10)
    M. Ekholm (20)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    16:55

2nd period

  1. CHI
    D. Kubalik(14)
    J. Toews (22), D. Keith (11)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    6:43

3rd period

  1. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(11)PPG
    J. Toews (23), P. Kane (32)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    5:32
  2. NSH
    N. Bonino(14)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.46win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    19:23
  3. NSH
    P. Rinne(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.36
    5-2
    19:38

Penalties

NSH 6 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:14CHIserved by J. Quenneville · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 7:16CHIOlli Maatta · High stickingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 12:12NSHJarred Tinordi · Holdingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min

3rd

  • 4:43NSHRoman Josi · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min
  • 9:41NSHNick Bonino · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalNSH goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Colin Blackwell, 1st 8:22 — NSH 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.12Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.12J. Quenneville · Missed · xG 0.11P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.10D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.10D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.10D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.09E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.08D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.08J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.07K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.07K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.07E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.07D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.07D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.06K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.06R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.05J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.05A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.04E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01S. Koekkoek · Missed · xG 0.01K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 2.2 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCHI
3.63 G
All situations
2 G2.2
2.53 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH62%38%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 2.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCHI
30
Shots on goal
31
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
35
Hits
40
28
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
8
13
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011+330.10132—27:46
14M. EkholmD011+200.00210—24:38
7Y. WeberD000+120.03250—20:56
64M. GranlundC000+200.150005018:56
5D. HamhuisD000+100.00420—18:03
9F. ForsbergL011+220.28210—17:18
92R. JohansenC000+220.191103716:53
19C. JarnkrokC000+230.2320010016:45
33V. ArvidssonL101+130.40120—15:59
13N. BoninoC101+130.880523615:55
95M. DucheneC101+110.204006715:03
15C. SmithC000-120.29720014:09
23R. GrimaldiR000-130.26000—14:06
8K. TurrisC000+100.071005713:35
52M. IrwinD000+120.06200—12:59
24J. TinordiD000000.00312—11:19
42C. BlackwellC101+110.06140010:46
32Y. TreninC011+120.07210010:05
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(W)31292.9352.19+0.1960:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).