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Coyotes at Lightning
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
0
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
FinalTV FS-A, FS-A PLUS·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Utah Mammoth 4-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikhail Sergachev's goal at 18:24 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.7 to 1.0; shots on goal were ARI 25, TBL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.3 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (25 saves, 1.000), 2. Nikita Kucherov (2 G), 3. Mikhail Sergachev (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy25 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov2 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    M. Sergachev1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI0100807025
TBLTBL210212012434

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    A. Killorn(18)
    P. Maroon (9), C. Paquette (8)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:06
  2. TBL
    M. Sergachev(7)
    C. Paquette (9), P. Maroon (10)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    18:24

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(16)
    B. Point (22), S. Stamkos (26)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    6:15
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(17)
    S. Stamkos (27), J. Rutta (4)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    8:52

Penalties

ARI 4 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

2nd

  • 3:30TBLBraydon Coburn · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min

3rd

  • 4:47TBLCedric Paquette · Trippingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min
  • 12:44ARITaylor Hall · Interferencedrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
  • 12:44TBLTyler Johnson · Roughingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 12:44ARITaylor Hall · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalARI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Mikhail Sergachev, 1st 18:24 — TBL 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.44N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.19A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.15A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.14N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.11A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10C. Paquette · Missed · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.09O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.08J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.07M. Sergachev · Goal · xG 0.07J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.05C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stephens · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stephens · Missed · xG 0.04A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stephens · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stephens · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.00M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL4 G · 2.7 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsTBL
1.00 G
All situations
4 G2.7
0.90 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI19%81%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.97 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsTBL
25
Shots on goal
34
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/2
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
6
3
Giveaways
5
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-120.05100—21:54
6J. ChychrunD000-210.05020—21:06
33A. GoligoskiD000-200.00120—21:05
55J. DemersD000-110.02420—19:04
81P. KesselR000-210.10000—18:20
82J. OesterleD000-100.00100—17:45
46I. LyubushkinD000-110.02120—16:51
67L. CrouseL000-200.02400—16:30
18C. DvorakC000-100.000103315:57
34C. SoderbergC000030.103103815:44
8N. SchmaltzC000010.02000015:29
21D. StepanC000-220.090004215:26
83C. GarlandR000-120.05000—15:24
91T. HallL000-120.09004—14:45
15B. RichardsonR000-120.070305014:09
13V. HinostrozaC000-230.10000014:00
9C. KellerR000030.18000—13:54
36C. FischerR000010.02210—10:47
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Hill(L)34304.8822.67-1.3359:50

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).