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Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV FS-MW, TVAS·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jaden Schwartz's goal at 15:09 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.9 to 2.7; shots on goal were WPG 26, STL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Pietrangelo (1 A), 2. Jordan Binnington (25 saves, .962), 3. Robert Bortuzzo.

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    A. Pietrangelo1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington25 saves, .962
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Bortuzzo

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0711108126
STLSTL1717214428

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.36win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:18

2nd period

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:40
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.16win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    15:09

3rd period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas(5)PPG
    V. Dunn (7), J. Kyrou (2)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    7:06
  2. STL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01
    1-4
    19:30

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 17:48STLRyan O'Reilly · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

2nd

  • 18:18STLAlex Pietrangelo · Interferencedrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 19:36WPGPatrik Laine · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

3rd

  • 5:37WPGLuca Sbisa · Boardingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 17:10STLJordan Binnington · Holdingdrawn by Nicholas Shore2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWPG goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jaden Schwartz, 2nd 15:09 — STL 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.73R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.37R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.20I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.20D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.18I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.17M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.17I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.16J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.16R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.16R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.15O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.15J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.13J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.12B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.11O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.10A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.10J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.10A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.09M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.09A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.09V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.08A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.08D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.08J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.08C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.07D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.05R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.05J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01
STL4 G · 4.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSTL
2.71 G
All situations
3 G4.9
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
1 G2.0
0.70 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG29%71%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 4.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSTL
26
Shots on goal
28
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
11
3
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD000-110.03210—24:40
44J. MorrisseyD000-110.02130—24:02
55M. ScheifeleC000-230.462103223:56
81K. ConnorL000-240.50000—23:16
29P. LaineL000-250.771125022:50
3T. PoolmanD000-130.20110—22:17
26B. WheelerR000-110.120002918:55
5L. SbisaD000020.02122—18:19
27N. EhlersL000-110.16000—16:07
17A. LowryC000-110.067004015:43
28J. RoslovicC000000.09020014:15
2A. BitettoD000000.01400—13:00
88N. BeaulieuD000000.00000—12:17
57G. BourqueL000-100.0010010011:27
82M. AppletonC000-110.08010011:03
21N. ShoreC101+130.180106710:28
58J. HarkinsC011+100.00000008:40
38L. ShawR011+100.00100—07:12
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)27243.8894.14+1.1458:04

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).