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Avalanche at Blackhawks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
Chicago Blackhawks
1
FinalTV NBCSN, TVAS·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 7:49 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were COL 36, CHI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Corey Crawford stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G), 2. Gabriel Landeskog (2 A), 3. Andre Burakovsky (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    A. Burakovsky1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL11921017436
CHICHI16016010132

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    I. Cole(2)
    G. Landeskog (5), N. Zadorov (4)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:41
  2. CHI
    R. Carpenter(2)
    A. DeBrincat (17)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:48

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(21)
    M. Rantanen (14), A. Lindholm (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    7:49
  2. COL
    A. Burakovsky(13)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    10:08

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(10)EN
    G. Landeskog (6), I. Cole (12)
    wristxG 0.53win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    17:04

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 4:14COLserved by A. Burakovsky · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:00CHIBrandon Saad · Slashingdrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare2 min
  • 14:47COLPavel Francouz · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min

3rd

  • 13:48CHIErik Gustafsson · Roughingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 18:02COLValeri Nichushkin · Cross checkingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCOL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 2nd 7:49 — COL 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.19D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.17J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.14J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.12A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.10P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.08J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.08K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07R. Carpenter · Goal · xG 0.07O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.05M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.04J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.03M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.03D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02D. Gilbert · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.02K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.01A. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI1 G · 2.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCHI
3.03 G
All situations
1 G2.1
2.43 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL57%43%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCHI
36
Shots on goal
32
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
40
Hits
33
20
Blocked shots
19
11
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
49S. GirardD000030.28300—23:50
27R. GravesD000020.12310—22:32
28I. ColeD112+350.20220—21:31
16N. ZadorovD011+320.05210—20:30
29N. MacKinnonC101+350.462002918:17
96M. RantanenR112+310.57100—17:43
11M. CalvertL000-110.06320—16:50
92G. LandeskogL022+310.119104316:40
44M. BarberioD000-110.01120—16:07
41P. BellemareL000030.211004015:39
91N. KadriC000+140.271105015:15
83M. NietoL000-120.18100—15:14
37J. CompherL000-130.232206913:41
72J. DonskoiR000010.02130—12:50
13V. NichushkinR000000.00122—12:31
54A. LindholmD011+100.00310—12:01
17T. JostC000+110.1530010011:37
95A. BurakovskyL101+110.04120—11:14
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(W)32311.9692.07+1.0760:00

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).