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Wild at Golden Knights
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-N·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Minnesota Wild 3-2. The Wild scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shea Theodore's goal at 19:50 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were MIN 26, VGK 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.6 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Chandler Stephenson (1 G), 2. Mark Stone (2 A), 3. Shea Theodore (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    C. Stephenson1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Stone2 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN1701019226
VGKVGK0821219329

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(8)PPG
    E. Staal (15), M. Dumba (7)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    19:20

2nd period

  1. VGK
    C. Stephenson(6)
    M. Stone (19), M. Pacioretty (20)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    11:22
  2. VGK
    S. Theodore(4)
    M. Stone (20)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +23 pts
    1-2
    19:50

3rd period

  1. VGK
    T. Nosek(5)
    W. Carrier (6)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    6:16
  2. MIN
    Z. Parise(14)
    K. Fiala (12), R. Suter (20)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +3 pts
    2-3
    18:45

Penalties

MIN 2 PIM·VGK 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:55MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
  • 16:01VGKNate Schmidt · Hookingdrawn by Eric Staal2 min
  • 18:35VGKReilly Smith · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 18:58VGKMark Stone · Interferencedrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min

2nd

  • 16:08VGKChandler Stephenson · Cross checkingdrawn by Victor Rask2 min

3rd

  • 4:03VGKMarc-Andre Fleury · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalMIN goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Shea Theodore, 2nd 19:50 — VGK 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.26T. Nosek · Goal · xG 0.14N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.13M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.12J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.10A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.09M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.09C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.09R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.08P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.08W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.07V. Zykov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.06R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.06R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05S. Theodore · Goal · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.05W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.01D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 2.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVGK
2.02 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.11 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN41%59%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVGK
26
Shots on goal
29
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/5
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
24
15
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
6
9
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD011-120.12020—27:38
24M. DumbaD011-140.22340—26:10
12E. StaalC011020.150004724:03
36M. ZuccarelloR101010.11010—20:25
21C. SoucyD000-100.11200—19:34
11Z. PariseL101030.3701010019:25
22K. FialaL011+120.26000—18:50
25J. BrodinD000010.01230—18:21
18J. GreenwayL000-110.10200—17:35
77B. HuntD000-120.06100—15:10
19L. KuninC000-210.000207513:57
17M. FolignoL000010.11100—13:45
61B. MenellD000010.06000—12:39
38R. HartmanR000000.07022—11:46
41L. JohnsonC000-110.023002210:52
7N. SturmC000020.132006310:23
49V. RaskC000010.010002210:22
6R. DonatoC000-210.0410010009:10
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(L)29263.8972.45-0.5557:27

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).