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Wild at Blackhawks
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
3
Chicago Blackhawks
▸5
FinalTV NHLN, FS-N·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Minnesota Wild 5-3. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Saad's goal at 13:43 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 52% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were MIN 26, CHI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.2 goals below expected; Robin Lehner stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrick Kane (3 G), 2. Kevin Fiala (2 G), 3. Connor Murphy (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    P. Kane3 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Fiala2 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    C. Murphy2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN1921106326
CHICHI2101928527

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    P. Kane(16)
    A. Nylander (8)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    7:42
  2. CHI
    P. Kane(17)PPG
    J. Toews (15), D. Strome (16)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    11:33
  3. MIN
    E. Staal(12)PPG
    R. Suter (17), J. Zucker (12)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    12:37

2nd period

  1. MIN
    K. Fiala(7)
    R. Suter (18)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    1:59
  2. CHI
    D. Kampf(5)
    C. Murphy (4), E. Gustafsson (10)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    2-3
    8:13
  3. MIN
    K. Fiala(8)
    R. Suter (19)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +20 pts
    3-3
    14:20

3rd period

  1. CHI
    B. Saad(11)
    C. Murphy (5), J. Toews (16)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +36 pts
    3-4
    13:43
  2. CHI
    P. Kane(18)EN
    J. Toews (17)
    wristxG 0.48win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    18:57

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:32MINJordan Greenway · Interferencedrawn by Adam Boqvist2 min
  • 11:44CHIKirby Dach · Hookingdrawn by Brennan Menell2 min

2nd

  • 0:45MINJordan Greenway · Interferencedrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min
  • 0:45CHIJonathan Toews · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 11:29MINEric Staal · Trippingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalMIN goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Brandon Saad, 3rd 13:43 — CHI 52% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.48A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.21K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.20B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.14R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.13B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.09E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kampf · Goal · xG 0.05A. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.04B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.03D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.02D. Gilbert · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01B. Seabrook · Missed · xG 0.01M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI5 G · 2.3 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCHI
1.63 G
All situations
4 G2.3
1.62 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.01 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN47%53%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 1.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCHI
26
Shots on goal
27
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/1
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
17
20
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
21C. SoucyD000+130.13130—23:37
20R. SuterD033-100.04140—23:24
25J. BrodinD000010.01120—22:35
24M. DumbaD000-310.01120—18:13
61B. MenellD000000.00100—17:56
11Z. PariseL000010.10000—16:54
16J. ZuckerL011-110.10100—16:33
19L. KuninC000-110.041102516:05
38R. HartmanR000-120.16120—15:50
22K. FialaL202050.3100010015:34
12E. StaalC101-110.030123515:18
17M. FolignoL000000.00400—14:28
18J. GreenwayL000-130.2440410014:24
77B. HuntD000-110.03020—14:15
6R. DonatoC000-130.112102714:03
36M. ZuccarelloR000-210.09110—13:23
49V. RaskC000020.061007012:19
26G. MayhewC000000.17110010:47
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31K. Kahkonen(L)26224.8461.78-2.2259:21

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).