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Philadelphia Flyers at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FS-N, NBCSP·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Flyers scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Staal's goal at 9:47 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.0 to 1.0; shots on goal were PHI 18, MIN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Alex Stalock stopped 17 of 18 (.944). Three stars: 1. Eric Staal (2 G), 2. Ryan Suter (1 A), 3. Kevin Fiala (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    E. Staal2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    R. Suter1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    K. Fiala1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI1503010118
MINMIN2718113428

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:34
  2. MIN
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:16
  3. MIN
    J. Brodin (12), R. Suter (16)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    7:51

2nd period

  1. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.32win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    9:47

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.41win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    17:46

Penalties

PHI 15 PIM·MIN 11 PIM

1st

  • 18:18PHITyler Pitlick · High stickingdrawn by Victor Rask2 min

2nd

  • 4:57PHIShayne Gostisbehere · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 14:55PHIMatt Niskanen · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 17:19MINBrennan Menell · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 19:06MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Joel Farabee5 min
  • 19:06PHIJoel Farabee · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min

3rd

  • 3:50MINKevin Fiala · Trippingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 4:42PHIJames van Riemsdyk · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Suter2 min
  • 9:14PHIChris Stewart · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 15:47MINKevin Fiala · Holdingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalPHI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Eric Staal, 2nd 9:47 — MIN 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Soucy · Goal · xG 0.41E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.32R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.17R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.16K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.15R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.13Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.12Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.12R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.09B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.08L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.08E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.08V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.05J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.04E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.03E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.03C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02B. Menell · On goal · xG 0.02M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01B. Menell · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 3.0 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsMIN
1.01 G
All situations
3 G3.0
0.81 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI19%81%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.00 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsMIN
18
Shots on goal
28
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/3
Power play
0/5
15
Penalty minutes
11
10
Hits
6
4
Blocked shots
14
2
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14S. CouturierC000-200.032008022:55
9I. ProvorovD000-210.03010—22:44
6T. SanheimD000-100.00010—21:48
28C. GirouxR000-210.001006221:09
61J. BraunD000-120.06110—19:51
13K. HayesR000-120.060006719:23
15M. NiskanenD000-130.28102—19:16
93J. VoracekR000-110.03000—18:50
49J. FarabeeL000-100.07105—18:21
53S. GostisbehereD000-130.07002—17:45
25J. van RiemsdykL101-110.17002—16:19
5P. MyersD000010.02100—15:43
24M. VorobyevC000000.001003613:16
48M. FrostC011000.001007513:16
72D. KaseR000-120.1000010010:11
44C. StewartR000-110.07102—09:53
21S. LaughtonC000000.00000005:54
18T. PitlickC000000.00012004:17
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)27243.8892.59-0.4159:02

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).