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Blue Jackets at Senators
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators

Final/OTTV FS-O, SN·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-3 in overtime, Anthony Duclair scoring at 1:56. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Duclair's goal at 1:56 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were CBJ 41, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 17 of 19 (.895); Anders Nilsson stopped 38 of 41 (.927). Three stars: 1. Anthony Duclair (3 G), 2. Anders Nilsson (38 saves, .927), 3. Connor Brown (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    A. Duclair3 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    A. Nilsson38 saves, .927
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. Brown1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CBJCBJ1100822003341
OTTOTT281120512427

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:16
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:53
  3. OTT
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    12:05

2nd period

  1. OTT
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    8:17

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    4:44
  2. CBJ
    snapxG 0.19win prob +32 pts
    3-3
    11:31

Overtime

  1. OTT
    A. Duclair(18)PPG
    slapxG 0.17win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    1:56

Penalties

CBJ 11 PIM·OTT 13 PIM

1st

  • 5:21OTTMark Borowiecki · Fightingdrawn by Josh Anderson5 min
  • 5:21CBJJosh Anderson · Fightingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki5 min
  • 8:58OTTConnor Brown · Holdingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

2nd

  • 10:52CBJSeth Jones · High stickingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min
  • 11:01OTTAnthony Duclair · Trippingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min
  • 14:43CBJPierre-Luc Dubois · Interferencedrawn by Logan Brown2 min
  • 16:33OTTColin White · High stickingdrawn by David Savard2 min

3rd

  • 16:52OTTTyler Ennis · Hookingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min

OT

  • 1:40CBJAlexander Wennberg · Slashingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalCBJ goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Duclair, OT 1:56 — OTT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.31C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.19A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.17A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.16C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.12C. White · On goal · xG 0.12T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.11C. White · On goal · xG 0.11C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.11C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.10J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.09A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.08C. White · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.05C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.04T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.04N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hainsey · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01C. Goloubef · On goal · xG 0.01C. Goloubef · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.00M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.00V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 2.2 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsOTT
2.73 G
All situations
4 G2.2
2.53 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ60%40%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.71 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsOTT
41
Shots on goal
27
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/4
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
13
28
Hits
29
15
Blocked shots
11
6
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000-240.08512—27:10
71N. FolignoL000-140.233103824:37
38B. JennerC000-120.056005523:38
58D. SavardD000+140.06020—21:54
28O. BjorkstrandR000-140.371005021:37
13C. AtkinsonR101050.64020—21:12
46D. KukanD000-220.03000—21:09
10A. WennbergC000-120.141125019:12
2A. PeekeD000+200.07230—18:49
14G. NyquistR011-130.2601010018:21
44V. GavrikovD000030.12110—18:17
18P. DuboisC022+120.151221717:13
42A. TexierL202+330.36110—12:37
27R. MurrayD011+110.02200—11:35
50E. RobinsonL022+210.06200—10:16
20R. NashC000-100.001003307:26
77J. AndersonR000000.00205—05:07
22S. MilanoL000010.10000—01:38
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(O)19172.8951.71-0.2941:56
90E. Merzlikins862.7500.49-1.5120:00

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).