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Maple Leafs at Canucks
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
Vancouver Canucks
1
FinalTV SNO, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Tavares's goal at 19:40 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 71% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were TOR 26, VAN 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Frederik Andersen (38 saves, .974), 2. John Tavares (2 G, 1 A), 3. Josh Leivo (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    F. Andersen38 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Leivo1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR0821028426
VANVAN011012116139

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(19)
    J. Tavares (11), J. Holl (8)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    1:45
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(11)
    C. Ceci (5), M. Marner (17)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    19:40

3rd period

  1. VAN
    J. Leivo(7)
    T. Pearson (12), B. Horvat (17)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    11:14
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(12)
    J. Holl (9), M. Marner (18)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    3-1
    14:58
  3. TOR
    Z. Hyman(6)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.82
    4-1
    18:16

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:40VANAntoine Roussel · Interferencedrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 18:23TORMitch Marner · Interferencedrawn by Josh Leivo2 min

3rd

  • 6:04VANTanner Pearson · Hookingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 19:53TORKasperi Kapanen · Roughingdrawn by Jay Beagle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalTOR goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: John Tavares, 2nd 19:40 — TOR 71% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.30T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.19T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.16B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.15B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.14A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.10J. Leivo · Goal · xG 0.09B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.09T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.08Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.07B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.05T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN1 G · 2.6 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsVAN
3.13 G
All situations
1 G2.6
2.13 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR44%56%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.30 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsVAN
26
Shots on goal
39
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
8
Hits
15
13
Blocked shots
16
5
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000+110.02300—24:01
94T. BarrieD000010.31020—23:46
16M. MarnerR022+210.19012—22:34
91J. TavaresC213+350.420105721:13
8J. MuzzinD000+100.04110—20:35
34A. MatthewsC101+120.500303320:05
11Z. HymanL101+320.911007518:23
3J. HollD022+100.04100—18:11
88W. NylanderR000020.100205017:57
83C. CeciD011+210.07010—16:36
24K. KapanenR000+110.05212—15:35
15A. KerfootC000+100.000007313:57
46P. AbergL000010.05000—12:33
23T. DermottD000+110.01010—12:33
65I. MikheyevR000030.04000—11:47
61N. PetanC000-120.19000010:02
47P. EngvallL000020.06000—09:32
19J. SpezzaC000-110.1500010008:51
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)39381.9742.64+1.6459:42

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).