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Senators at Oilers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸5
Edmonton Oilers
2
FinalTV TVAS, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Oilers scored first; the Senators answered. The Senators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Duclair's goal at 1:30 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 72% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were OTT 25, EDM 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 9 of 12 (.750), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Ennis (1 G, 2 A), 2. Connor Brown (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sam Gagner (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    T. Ennis1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Brown1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    S. Gagner2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT04311210525
EDMEDM1101907226

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    J. Khaira(6)
    L. Draisaitl (33), S. Gagner (5)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:09

2nd period

  1. OTT
    A. Anisimov(3)PPG
    V. Namestnikov (7), C. White (5)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    5:15
  2. OTT
    C. Brown(3)
    C. Tierney (10), R. Hainsey (4)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    5:27
  3. OTT
    T. Ennis(8)
    C. Brown (14), D. DeMelo (3)
    snapxG 0.33win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    11:42
  4. EDM
    O. Klefbom(2)PPG
    S. Gagner (6), J. Neal (5)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    17:37

3rd period

  1. OTT
    A. Duclair(11)
    T. Ennis (6)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    1:30
  2. OTT
    V. Namestnikov(7)
    C. Tierney (11), T. Ennis (7)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +3 pts
    5-2
    11:47

Penalties

OTT 14 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:57OTTVladislav Namestnikov · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 14:09OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 17:20EDMAdam Larsson · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min

2nd

  • 3:15EDMJujhar Khaira · Hookingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
  • 16:12OTTBrady Tkachuk · Holdingdrawn by Joakim Nygard2 min

3rd

  • 15:12OTTThomas Chabot · Trippingdrawn by Gaetan Haas2 min
  • 15:44EDMLeon Draisaitl · Holdingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 16:34OTTNikita Zaitsev · Hookingdrawn by Gaetan Haas2 min
  • 16:49OTTRon Hainsey · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 18:38OTTDylan DeMelo · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalOTT goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Duclair, 3rd 1:30 — OTT 72% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.20P. Russell · Missed · xG 0.17J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.16J. Khaira · Goal · xG 0.15J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.14D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.12J. Nygard · On goal · xG 0.10J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.09J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.09A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.08O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.05O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.05J. Nygard · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.04O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.04O. Klefbom · Goal · xG 0.04J. Persson · Missed · xG 0.03O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.01G. Haas · Missed · xG 0.01J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.01J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.01J. Persson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01G. Haas · On goal · xG 0.01J. Persson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Persson · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 2.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsEDM
3.25 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.54 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.61 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT57%43%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsEDM
25
Shots on goal
26
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
1/7
14
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
11
7
Giveaways
8
12
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
81R. HainseyD011+300.00042—23:45
2D. DeMeloD011+210.04222—23:19
74M. BorowieckiD000-100.00440—22:55
44J. PageauC000040.514006121:18
72T. ChabotD000020.04202—21:04
28C. BrownR112+230.23200—20:23
22N. ZaitsevD000+100.00222—18:55
10A. DuclairL101+140.43120—18:50
90V. NamestnikovC112020.4921210018:09
7B. TkachukL000+120.355025017:30
36C. WhiteC011-110.120004317:29
71C. TierneyC022+210.150005016:28
51A. AnisimovC101+220.180005714:03
63T. EnnisR123+310.48100—13:42
58M. LajoieD000+100.00000—07:05
64J. BeaudinC000-100.001105005:57
21L. BrownC000020.19000005:28
13N. PaulL000000.00000—01:03
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(W)26242.9232.80+0.8059:50

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).