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Penguins at Blues
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
St. Louis Blues
▸5
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, FS-MW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan Walker's goal at 14:01 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals were close — PIT 2.3, STL 2.4; shots on goal were PIT 31, STL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.6 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Nathan Walker (1 G), 2. Justin Faulk (1 G), 3. Jordan Binnington (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    N. Walker1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Faulk1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Binnington29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT0711915231
STLSTL1918310527

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    J. Faulk(1)
    R. O'Reilly (19), Z. Sanford (7)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    7:52

2nd period

  1. PIT
    S. Lafferty(4)
    J. Blandisi (2), C. Ruhwedel (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:27
  2. STL
    N. Walker(1)
    J. Schwartz (13), J. Bouwmeester (5)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    14:01

3rd period

  1. STL
    I. Barbashev(4)
    R. Thomas (7)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    2:54
  2. STL
    M. MacEachern(3)
    J. de la Rose (4)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    7:09
  3. PIT
    K. Letang(7)
    D. Simon (11), E. Malkin (16)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    13:03
  4. STL
    J. Schwartz(7)PPG
    D. Perron (16), R. O'Reilly (20)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    17:05

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:39PITChad Ruhwedel · Slashingdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min

2nd

  • 2:13PITSam Lafferty · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Bozak2 min
  • 9:59STLDerrick Pouliot · Trippingdrawn by Joseph Blandisi2 min
  • 17:26STLJustin Faulk · Holdingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min

3rd

  • 15:56PITChad Ruhwedel · Trippingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalPIT goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Nathan Walker, 2nd 14:01 — STL 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.25D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.24B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.15N. Walker · Goal · xG 0.14B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.13J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.12Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.10N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.09T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.09M. MacEachern · Goal · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.07N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.07J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.02J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.00
STL5 G · 2.4 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsSTL
2.32 G
All situations
5 G2.4
1.82 G
Even strength
4 G1.4
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT47%53%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsSTL
31
Shots on goal
27
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
8
5
Giveaways
9
10
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD101040.21010—28:23
3J. JohnsonD000-110.03110—26:38
28M. PetterssonD000-110.01100—25:12
6J. MarinoD000-110.02120—21:03
59J. GuentzelC000+120.1800010019:32
12D. SimonC011050.51000018:38
71E. MalkinC011+120.111007018:26
53T. BluegerC000050.190102516:09
72P. HornqvistR000-320.13010—15:36
2C. RuhwedelD011-200.00404—15:24
46Z. Aston-ReeseL000000.0110010014:48
24D. KahunC000-110.08000013:32
19J. McCannL000-310.320005013:01
13B. TanevL000010.13120—12:30
37S. LaffertyC101+110.083025012:28
18A. GalchenyukC000-130.17010011:29
36J. BlandisiC011010.090205011:00
8B. DumoulinD000000.00000—00:35
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)27225.8152.41-2.5960:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).