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Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, TSN3·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the San Jose Sharks 5-1. The Sharks scored first; the Jets answered. The Jets led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 3:29 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were WPG 26, SJS 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Aaron Dell stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (32 saves, .970), 2. Mark Scheifele (1 G), 3. Kyle Connor (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG2827111526
SJSSJS19012012133

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:28
  2. WPG
    P. Laine(7)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    13:15
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    18:09

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor (11), P. Laine (15)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    3:29
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    4-1
    14:01

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.51
    5-1
    14:47

Penalties

WPG 34 PIM·SJS 18 PIM

1st

  • 1:26WPGBlake Wheeler · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 6:37SJSRadim Simek · Interferencedrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 10:39WPGJosh Morrissey · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:52SJSTimo Meier · Trippingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min

2nd

  • 9:48SJSDylan Gambrell · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 11:52WPGJack Roslovic · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 18:09WPGAnthony Bitetto · Interferencedrawn by Marcus Sorensen2 min

3rd

  • 4:59SJSBrenden Dillon · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Jack Roslovic0 min
  • 7:03WPGNeal Pionk · Interferencedrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min
  • 17:40WPGMark Scheifele · Misconductdrawn by Brenden Dillon10 min
  • 17:40WPGMark Scheifele · Roughingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 17:40WPGKyle Connor · Misconductdrawn by Brenden Dillon10 min
  • 17:40WPGKyle Connor · Roughingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 17:40SJSBrenden Dillon · Misconductdrawn by Mark Scheifele10 min
  • 17:40SJSBrenden Dillon · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalWPG goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, 2nd 3:29 — WPG 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.24B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.19B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.17K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.13M. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.12T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.11K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.11L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.11T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.10E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.10P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07A. Suomela · Missed · xG 0.07E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.07P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.06K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06M. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05T. Heed · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.04P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03T. Heed · On goal · xG 0.03R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02T. Heed · On goal · xG 0.02A. Suomela · Missed · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02A. Suomela · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS1 G · 2.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSJS
2.94 G
All situations
1 G2.5
1.63 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG48%52%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSJS
26
Shots on goal
33
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/3
Power play
0/6
34
Penalty minutes
18
25
Hits
18
17
Blocked shots
5
10
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. KulikovD000+100.00230—20:46
44J. MorrisseyD000+310.10002—20:35
4N. PionkD011+120.08422—19:58
81K. ConnorL112+430.760012—19:52
9A. CoppC000010.06000019:21
5L. SbisaD011-110.03140—18:59
3T. PoolmanD000+320.02230—18:11
55M. ScheifeleC101+250.5911124017:57
2A. BitettoD011-100.00522—17:56
29P. LaineL123+320.15100—17:44
17A. LowryC000-100.103004417:39
26B. WheelerR022+130.271025015:36
27N. EhlersL000010.12000—13:05
28J. RoslovicC101+130.4721210011:51
85M. PerreaultC000000.00100011:12
38L. ShawR000-110.071005009:46
46J. LuotoL000-100.06110—08:53
19D. GustafssonC101+110.030007508:33
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)33321.9702.52+1.5260:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).