Skip to content
Oilers at Avalanche
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, ALT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-1. The Oilers scored first; the Avalanche answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Nieto's goal at 3:05 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were EDM 20, COL 50. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 46 of 50 (.920); Philipp Grubauer stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A), 2. Logan O'Connor (1 G), 3. Nazem Kadri (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    L. O'Connor1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. Kadri1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM1130502120
COLCOL014119317450

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    J. Khaira(5)
    D. Nurse (10)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:17

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. Kadri(8)
    J. Donskoi (8), C. Rosen (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    10:50

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Nieto(5)
    N. MacKinnon (20), J. Donskoi (9)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +25 pts
    1-2
    3:05
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(15)
    I. Cole (9), R. Graves (5)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    4:07
  3. COL
    L. O'Connor(1)
    V. Nichushkin (3)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    5:37

Penalties

EDM 29 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 16:06EDMJosh Archibald · Interferencedrawn by Ian Cole2 min

2nd

  • 2:45EDMAdam Larsson · Elbowingdrawn by T.J. Tynan5 min
  • 2:45EDMAdam Larsson · Game misconduct10 min
  • 5:40EDMLeon Draisaitl · Trippingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 11:22COLNikita Zadorov · Interferencedrawn by Josh Archibald2 min
  • 11:22EDMJosh Archibald · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 15:10COLIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Jujhar Khaira2 min

3rd

  • 6:17EDMKris Russell · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 8:25COLJ.T. Compher · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Mikko Koskinen2 min
  • 8:25EDMDarnell Nurse · Roughingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 19:06COLNazem Kadri · Roughingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
  • 19:06EDMZack Kassian · Chargingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 19:06EDMZack Kassian · Roughingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalEDM goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Nieto, 3rd 3:05 — COL 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.27T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.20M. Nieto · Goal · xG 0.15J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.15J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.15N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.13M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.13L. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.11V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.11V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.10V. Kamenev · On goal · xG 0.09V. Kamenev · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.09J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.07M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.07J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.06C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.06I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.05P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.04M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.03V. Kamenev · Missed · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Rosen · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.00V. Kamenev · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 4.3 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCOL
1.81 G
All situations
4 G4.3
1.81 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.00 G
Power play
0 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM14%86%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 4.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCOL
20
Shots on goal
50
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/1
Power play
0/5
29
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
25
19
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
11
11
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD011020.14222—27:59
74E. BearD000020.02110—26:06
77O. KlefbomD000-320.02130—25:10
29L. DraisaitlC000-110.091023321:50
97C. McDavidC000-130.670105019:44
44Z. KassianR000-120.18604—17:59
82C. JonesD000-300.00020—17:35
4K. RussellD000010.00122—15:59
23R. SheahanC000+100.091303114:49
16J. KhairaL101-110.14200—14:42
18J. NealL000-220.2422010014:01
89S. GagnerC000-210.120001413:13
15J. ArchibaldR000+110.01104—13:08
60M. GranlundC000-100.00010011:36
52P. RussellR000-110.11100—09:28
91G. HaasC000-100.000106009:21
6A. LarssonD000000.002115—06:13
39A. ChiassonR000010.01000—04:43
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)50464.9204.30+0.3060:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).