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New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks

Final/OTTV MSG+, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the New York Islanders 2-1 in overtime, Logan Couture scoring at 2:30. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Couture's goal at 2:30 of overtime, which took the Sharks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYI 28, SJS 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Martin Jones stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Jones (27 saves, .964), 2. Marcus Sorensen (1 G), 3. Logan Couture (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    M. Jones27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    SJS
    M. Sorensen1 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    L. Couture1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI0711001100128
SJSSJS013160512226

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    6:38
  2. NYI
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    7:05

Overtime

  1. SJS
    E. Kane (8), B. Burns (16)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    2:30

Penalties

NYI 7 PIM·SJS 17 PIM

1st

  • 1:06NYIAdam Pelech · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 6:55SJSRadim Simek · Hookingdrawn by Michael Dal Colle2 min

2nd

  • 0:37SJSBrenden Dillon · Fightingdrawn by Casey Cizikas5 min
  • 0:37NYICasey Cizikas · Fightingdrawn by Brenden Dillon5 min
  • 7:05SJSserved by K. Labanc · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 12:08SJSLukas Radil · Trippingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 16:42SJSKevin Labanc · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min

3rd

  • 2:32SJSPatrick Marleau · Trippingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 12:26SJSKevin Labanc · Trippingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalNYI goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Logan Couture, OT 2:30 — SJS 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Couture · Goal · xG 0.18T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.14B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.14D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.12P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.09E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.09M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.08R. Simek · Missed · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.06B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.06L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.05K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.05L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sorensen · Goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.03J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 1.9 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsSJS
2.71 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
1.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI65%35%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsSJS
28
Shots on goal
26
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/6
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
17
31
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
18
8
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD011-120.10220—23:29
25D. ToewsD000030.03210—21:28
13M. BarzalC000030.280006020:57
18A. BeauvillierR000030.43000—20:42
29B. NelsonC000061.021005920:34
3A. PelechD011020.02142—19:34
2N. LeddyD000020.10010—19:16
27A. LeeL000020.330006719:10
10D. BrassardC000000.00110018:51
12J. BaileyR000-210.02010—18:26
24S. MayfieldD000000.05200—18:06
7J. EberleR000-100.15110—17:34
53C. CizikasC101030.147053314:17
55J. BoychukD000000.01120—13:51
15C. ClutterbuckR000+100.05600—12:33
28M. Dal ColleL000000.00200—11:33
17M. MartinL000000.00500—08:37
21O. KoivulaL000010.010105006:32
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(O)26242.9231.91-0.0962:30

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).