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Golden Knights at Kings
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
3
Los Angeles Kings
▸4
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-W·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3. The Kings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Carter's goal at 12:42 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 52% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were VGK 31, LAK 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Malcolm Subban stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.2 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Jeff Carter (1 G), 2. Drew Doughty (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nikolai Prokhorkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    J. Carter1 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    N. Prokhorkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK01431106331
LAKLAK281819425

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    B. Lizotte(2)SHG
    A. Kempe (4), D. Doughty (8)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    10:59
  2. LAK
    D. Doughty(5)PPG
    A. Iafallo (6), A. Kopitar (15)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    15:10

2nd period

  1. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(7)
    R. Smith (6), W. Karlsson (14)
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    7:24
  2. LAK
    N. Prokhorkin(1)
    K. Clifford (4), M. Luff (1)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    9:08
  3. VGK
    J. Marchessault(5)
    C. Eakin (4)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    14:52
  4. VGK
    W. Karlsson(6)
    M. Pacioretty (11), S. Theodore (7)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    17:06

3rd period

  1. LAK
    J. Carter(6)
    M. Roy (3)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +35 pts
    3-4
    12:42

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:25VGKPaul Stastny · Slashingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 4:50LAKDustin Brown · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 10:08LAKMatt Roy · Roughingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
  • 13:43VGKMark Stone · Hookingdrawn by Sean Walker2 min
  • 15:35LAKSean Walker · Slashingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalVGK goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Jeff Carter, 3rd 12:42 — LAK 52% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.29K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.29B. Lizotte · Goal · xG 0.21N. Prokhorkin · Goal · xG 0.17K. MacDermid · On goal · xG 0.14M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.13A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.13M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.13N. Prokhorkin · On goal · xG 0.10K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.10A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.10D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.10D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.10M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.09K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.09J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.08B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.07A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.07M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · Goal · xG 0.03J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.03A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.03N. Prokhorkin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.02K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 2.8 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsLAK
3.43 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.63 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK63%37%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.40 – 2.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsLAK
31
Shots on goal
25
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
18
10
Blocked shots
15
3
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. SchmidtD000+140.15040—23:20
61M. StoneR000-140.51202—22:35
27S. TheodoreD011010.09000—22:15
71W. KarlssonC112+220.580005520:32
67M. PaciorettyL112+130.36100—19:59
81J. MarchessaultR101010.05000—19:59
15J. MerrillD000-100.07210—19:03
19R. SmithR011+210.05000—18:16
3B. McNabbD000+120.35100—17:41
21C. EakinC011020.153005316:42
22N. HoldenD000-110.10320—16:09
14N. HagueD000+110.03220—15:34
9C. GlassC000-210.1800010012:30
26P. StastnyC000-230.160125012:13
89A. TuchR000-110.50100—11:55
92T. NosekL000010.071005010:52
75R. ReavesR000000.00300—09:51
28W. CarrierL000030.05200—08:54
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Subban(L)25214.8402.80-1.2058:03

Season series

LAK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).