Skip to content
Senators at Devils
NHL

Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸4
New Jersey Devils
2
FinalTV MSG, SN360·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New Jersey Devils 4-2. The Devils scored first; the Senators answered. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jean-Gabriel Pageau's goal at 17:59 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 48% to 95%. Expected goals were close — OTT 2.2, NJD 2.2; shots on goal were OTT 25, NJD 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 21 of 23 (.913); Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (3 G), 2. Mackenzie Blackwood (21 saves, .875), 3. Wayne Simmonds (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    J. Pageau3 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    M. Blackwood21 saves, .875
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    W. Simmonds1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT170939425
NJDNJD2110705223

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    W. Simmonds(3)
    M. Wood (3), N. Hischier (6)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:19
  2. OTT
    J. Pageau(9)
    C. Brown (11)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:54
  3. NJD
    W. Butcher(2)
    N. Gusev (2), B. Coleman (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    17:52

3rd period

  1. OTT
    M. Borowiecki(2)
    N. Zaitsev (5), F. Chlapik (3)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +35 pts
    2-2
    13:30
  2. OTT
    J. Pageau(10)
    N. Paul (6), C. Brown (12)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +46 pts
    3-2
    17:59
  3. OTT
    J. Pageau(11)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    19:34

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·NJD 2 PIM

1st

  • 1:44OTTJ.C. Beaudin · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Gusev2 min
  • 6:29OTTMark Borowiecki · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 9:50NJDAndy Greene · Trippingdrawn by Colin White2 min

3rd

  • 2:25OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau · Trippingdrawn by Travis Zajac2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalOTT goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Jean-Gabriel Pageau, 3rd 17:59 — OTT 48% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.19K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.19W. Simmonds · Goal · xG 0.18N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.13M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.12T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.11N. Gusev · Missed · xG 0.10J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.08W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.07N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.06P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.05A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.05M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.05P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.04W. Butcher · Goal · xG 0.04M. Mueller · On goal · xG 0.04M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.04P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.04P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.03N. Gusev · Missed · xG 0.03P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.03W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tennyson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Mueller · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.02A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tennyson · Missed · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 2.2 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsNJD
2.23 G
All situations
2 G2.2
2.03 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT46%54%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 2.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsNJD
25
Shots on goal
23
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
19
Hits
8
9
Blocked shots
7
1
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22N. ZaitsevD011+130.12130—24:44
2D. DeMeloD000000.02200—22:22
72T. ChabotD000-100.01200—21:22
28C. BrownR022+300.0400010021:17
44J. PageauC303+430.480126419:27
74M. BorowieckiD101+220.07412—19:27
13N. PaulL011+330.312008819:20
81R. HainseyD000+110.03210—18:58
10A. DuclairL000020.25100—16:53
7B. TkachukL000030.2400010015:55
36C. WhiteC000010.020106315:54
71C. TierneyC000-120.120104414:40
63T. EnnisR000-110.1701010012:37
90V. NamestnikovC000000.0010010012:30
9B. RyanR000-130.18000—11:52
26E. BrannstromD000+100.03000—11:06
64J. BeaudinC000-110.07202008:25
78F. ChlapikC011000.00200006:48
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(W)23212.9132.18+0.1860:00

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).