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Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 10:40 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 46% to 60%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.0, ANA 2.1; shots on goal were EDM 31, ANA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 31 of 33 (.939); John Gibson stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 4.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (3 G), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (2 G), 3. Leon Draisaitl (4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins2 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM21021229631
ANAANA19013111233

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:28
  2. ANA
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:24
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    10:40

2nd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    7:45
  2. EDM
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    10:23

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    3:11
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.02win prob +5 pts
    5-2
    7:14
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid(11)PPG
    slapxG 0.03
    6-2
    13:25

Penalties

EDM 10 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:04EDMConnor McDavid · Slashingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min
  • 6:30ANARickard Rakell · Trippingdrawn by Oscar Klefbom2 min

2nd

  • 0:57EDMZack Kassian · Trippingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
  • 4:01EDMConnor McDavid · Trippingdrawn by Carter Rowney2 min
  • 7:05ANARyan Getzlaf · Trippingdrawn by Gaetan Haas2 min
  • 8:09EDMKris Russell · Hookingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 10:50EDMAlex Chiasson · High stickingdrawn by Derek Grant2 min

3rd

  • 12:59ANAKorbinian Holzer · Hookingdrawn by Gaetan Haas2 min
  • 18:20ANARyan Getzlaf · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalEDM goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 1st 10:40 — EDM 46% → 60%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.27N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.25N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.13J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.13T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.09O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.09J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.08M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.08C. Rowney · Missed · xG 0.07A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.07C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.06J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.06O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.06S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.05S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.03J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.03M. Jones · Goal · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.02R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.01K. Holzer · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.01A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.00E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.00D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.00R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.00O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.00O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.00E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 2.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsANA
2.06 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.64 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.22 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM48%52%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.94 – 2.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsANA
31
Shots on goal
33
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/4
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
21
15
Blocked shots
8
16
Giveaways
12
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD022-120.02050—26:19
25D. NurseD000+200.00110—21:44
36J. PerssonD000-130.06000—19:28
74E. BearD011+200.00130—18:49
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC202+170.710005018:43
4K. RussellD000+100.00322—17:56
29L. DraisaitlC044+120.060003817:35
97C. McDavidC303+150.380046016:19
44Z. KassianR123+230.23102—15:41
83M. BenningD000+100.00100—14:43
39A. ChiassonR000+120.11212—14:23
18J. NealL000+120.0711010014:21
16J. KhairaL000000.00100—13:14
23R. SheahanC000010.020103713:02
52P. RussellR011020.15200—12:55
60M. GranlundC000010.04010012:42
15J. ArchibaldR000010.08200—12:14
91G. HaasC000-100.000003809:52
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(W)33312.9392.14+0.1460:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).