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New Jersey Devils at Calgary Flames

FinalTV MSG+ 2, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Devils scored first; the Flames answered. The Flames led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikael Backlund's goal at 14:53 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 56% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.8 to 1.8; shots on goal were NJD 23, CGY 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 33 of 38 (.868), 1.2 goals below expected; David Rittich stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Noah Hanifin (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mikael Backlund (1 G, 1 A), 3. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    N. Hanifin1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Backlund1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD1914010223
CGYCGY09417112538

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.34win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    15:44

2nd period

  1. CGY
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:02
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    5:21
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    9:57
  4. CGY
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    14:53
  5. CGY
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    2-4
    19:46

3rd period

  1. CGY
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    10:01

Penalties

NJD 12 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:46NJDNikita Gusev · Trippingdrawn by Tobias Rieder2 min
  • 16:38CGYMark Jankowski · Slashingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 19:44NJDWayne Simmonds · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

2nd

  • 8:26NJDNikita Gusev · Hookingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 8:45CGYMikael Backlund · Trippingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 13:10NJDTaylor Hall · High stickingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
  • 18:12NJDBlake Coleman · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

3rd

  • 7:08NJDJack Hughes · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 10:49CGYMikael Backlund · Cross checkingdrawn by Nikita Gusev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalNJD goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Mikael Backlund, 2nd 14:53 — CGY 56% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.29M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.25M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.20M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.20S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.16M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.14J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.14M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.14D. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.13M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.12A. Quine · On goal · xG 0.12T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.12M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.11A. Quine · On goal · xG 0.11D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.11J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.10M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.09E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.09E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.07T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.07M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.06N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.06R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · Goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.02M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Quine · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.00T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY5 G · 3.8 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCGY
1.82 G
All situations
5 G3.8
1.52 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD18%82%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.77 – 3.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCGY
23
Shots on goal
38
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/3
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
16
14
Blocked shots
9
9
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
45S. VatanenD000040.07010—24:24
76P. SubbanD000020.11100—22:24
28D. SeversonD000-210.13120—21:48
6A. GreeneD000010.03030—21:37
9T. HallL011-160.37102—16:20
37P. ZachaC011000.000003816:11
8W. ButcherD011000.02120—15:48
19T. ZajacC000000.001005615:26
21K. PalmieriC000-100.08100014:46
17W. SimmondsR000+120.1320210014:45
13N. HischierC000000.050006114:38
20B. ColemanL000010.013122514:26
86J. HughesC112-120.520026414:26
16K. RooneyC000010.063104513:41
44M. WoodL000010.01100—12:20
90J. BoqvistC000000.00200012:12
97N. GusevL101020.16004—12:04
7M. TennysonD000000.03140—11:27
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(L)38335.8683.84-1.1660:00

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).