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Ducks at Avalanche
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸5
Colorado Avalanche
2
FinalTV ALT, KCOP-13·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Maxime Comtois's goal at 6:42 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 76% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.5 to 2.5; shots on goal were ANA 27, COL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Pavel Francouz stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Miller (35 saves, .946), 2. Hampus Lindholm (3 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Miller35 saves, .946
  2. ★★
    ANA
    H. Lindholm3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA291929527
COLCOL012113112237

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    A. Henrique(6)
    R. Rakell (5), H. Lindholm (7)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:50
  2. ANA
    C. Rowney(2)
    D. Grant (2), H. Lindholm (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    12:51

2nd period

  1. COL
    J. Donskoi(4)PPG
    A. Burakovsky (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    5:22
  2. ANA
    R. Getzlaf(4)PPG
    H. Lindholm (9), R. Miller (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    8:28

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(6)PPG
    J. Compher (5), C. Makar (9)
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    1:38
  2. ANA
    M. Comtois(2)
    N. Ritchie (4), B. Guhle (3)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    6:42
  3. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(6)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.78win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    17:47

Penalties

ANA 12 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:44ANASam Steel · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 15:29COLNazem Kadri · High stickingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 18:47COLGabriel Landeskog · Interferencedrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min

2nd

  • 1:16ANANick Ritchie · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 4:06ANACam Fowler · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 6:51COLGabriel Landeskog · Slashingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min
  • 14:58ANAHampus Lindholm · Interferencedrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

3rd

  • 0:28ANAErik Gudbranson · Cross checkingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min
  • 1:38ANAserved by M. Comtois · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalANA goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Maxime Comtois, 3rd 6:42 — ANA 76% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.38N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.27N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.22C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.19C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.17N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.14J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.14N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.12C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.12M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.10C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.09J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.09J. Donskoi · Goal · xG 0.09C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.07C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.07M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.07M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.06N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01
COL2 G · 3.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCOL
2.54 G
All situations
2 G3.5
1.43 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
0.11 G
Power play
2 G2.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA21%79%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 3.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCOL
27
Shots on goal
37
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/3
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
17
21
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
6
11
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
46E. GudbransonD000+220.11212—22:24
47H. LindholmD033+220.03212—21:03
32J. LarssonD000000.00030—19:52
4C. FowlerD000+110.03012—19:13
5K. HolzerD000+120.07140—17:56
33J. SilfverbergR101+220.83020—16:55
34S. SteelC000010.060123816:28
67R. RakellR011+220.11000—16:23
15R. GetzlafC101+120.092403316:11
14A. HenriqueC101+240.231106015:50
37N. RitchieL011+120.32202—15:40
2B. GuhleD011+210.05000—14:46
53M. ComtoisL101+120.13100—14:32
24C. RowneyC101+110.31200014:30
61T. TerryR000000.00020—13:56
38D. GrantC011+110.020106012:41
49M. JonesL000010.03000—12:40
29D. ShoreC000+110.1420010008:34
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(W)37352.9463.53+1.5360:00

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).