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Flames at Jets
NHL

Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
1
Winnipeg Jets
▸2
Final/OTTV NBCSN, CBC·Mosaic Stadium

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Calgary Flames 2-1 in overtime, Bryan Little scoring at 3:04. The Flames scored first; the Jets answered. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Little's goal at 3:04 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were CGY 30, WPG 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. David Rittich stopped 43 of 45 (.956), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Bryan Little (1 G), 2. David Rittich (43 saves, .956), 3. Josh Morrissey (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    B. Little1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    D. Rittich43 saves, .956
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY0111150400130
WPGWPG01401211514245

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(7)PPG
    J. Gaudreau (7), S. Monahan (6)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    14:47

3rd period

  1. WPG
    J. Morrissey(1)PPG
    P. Laine (10), M. Scheifele (9)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +32 pts
    1-1
    15:49

Overtime

  1. WPG
    B. Little(1)
    K. Connor (2), N. Pionk (6)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    3:04

Penalties

CGY 10 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:48CGYSean Monahan · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 5:52CGYTJ Brodie · Trippingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 10:10CGYSam Bennett · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Connor Hellebuyck2 min
  • 13:09WPGAndrew Copp · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 14:47WPGserved by M. Perreault · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 20:00WPGAdam Lowry · Boardingdrawn by Oliver Kylington2 min

3rd

  • 14:50CGYMark Giordano · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min

OT

  • 0:39CGYSean Monahan · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCGY goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Bryan Little, OT 3:04 — WPG 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.19B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.15M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.12B. Little · Goal · xG 0.11J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.11N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.10J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.09P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.09B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.08P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.07J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.07G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.07G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.06A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.06A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.04B. Little · On goal · xG 0.04M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.03A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.03P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Poolman · Missed · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.02T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02T. Poolman · Missed · xG 0.02G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.01M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.00A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG2 G · 2.9 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsWPG
2.51 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.80 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.71 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY42%58%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsWPG
30
Shots on goal
45
36%
Faceoffs
64%
1/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
11
Hits
20
22
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000010.04052—27:42
24T. HamonicD000010.04050—25:17
28E. LindholmC101010.432402922:08
19M. TkachukL000-160.51000—22:04
55N. HanifinD000010.01220—20:19
13J. GaudreauL011060.58000—19:47
7T. BrodieD000-100.01022—18:54
23S. MonahanC011010.140045018:50
11M. BacklundC000030.160104517:30
4R. AnderssonD000030.05100—16:16
93S. BennettC000010.01002015:11
10D. RyanC000-110.162003012:40
58O. KylingtonD000020.10010—12:36
67M. FrolikR000010.03010—11:33
17M. LucicL000010.09200—11:31
88A. MangiapaneL000000.10100—10:55
16T. RiederL000010.00010—10:52
89A. QuineC000000.00100008:22
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(O)45432.9562.95+0.9563:04

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).