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Washington Capitals at Edmonton Oilers

Final/OTTV NBCSWA, SN1·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Washington Capitals 4-3 in overtime, Leon Draisaitl scoring at 1:18. The Oilers came back from two goals down. The Capitals led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 1:18 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.0 to 2.9; shots on goal were WSH 28, EDM 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 36 of 40 (.900); Mikko Koskinen stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G, 1 A), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 3. Alex Ovechkin (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WSHWSH083110900328
EDMEDM11101421411440

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:20

2nd period

  1. WSH
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:40
  2. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    6:27
  3. WSH
    snapxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    13:40

3rd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    4:25
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.15win prob +46 pts
    3-3
    18:22

Overtime

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.32win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    1:18

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:08WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Hookingdrawn by James Neal2 min
  • 17:55EDMMarkus Granlund · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 0:26WSHAlex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 11:59EDMMatt Benning · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 17:58WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
  • 17:58EDMZack Kassian · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalWSH goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, OT 1:18 — EDM 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.40L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.32D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.28R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.21L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.15S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.06A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.06D. Nurse · Goal · xG 0.06K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.06D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.04K. Russell · Missed · xG 0.04B. Manning · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.01J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01B. Manning · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.00R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 4.0 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsEDM
2.93 G
All situations
4 G4.0
2.42 G
Even strength
4 G3.6
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH33%67%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 3.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsEDM
28
Shots on goal
40
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
20
21
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
19
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011+130.08010—25:26
9D. OrlovD000-200.00230—24:14
8A. OvechkinL202-290.86202—22:39
19N. BackstromC000-210.670005721:38
77T. OshieR000-110.05230—20:38
33R. GudasD000-120.04130—18:23
34J. SiegenthalerD011+100.02130—18:02
6M. KempnyD000-100.00020—17:27
92E. KuznetsovC000010.080025416:55
43T. WilsonR011000.00322—16:18
3N. JensenD000-100.00120—14:10
20L. EllerC000000.001005412:37
18C. StephensonC000020.36100012:29
62C. HagelinL000010.0400010012:23
28B. LeipsicL000000.00010—11:45
26N. DowdC000010.131105511:24
21G. HathawayR000040.43300—10:56
13J. VranaL112030.12100—10:44
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(O)40364.9003.97-0.0361:18

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).