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Wild at Predators
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
0
Nashville Predators
▸4
FinalTV FS-N, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Minnesota Wild 4-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Calle Jarnkrok's goal at 19:31 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 75% to 91%. Expected goals were close — MIN 1.7, NSH 1.6; shots on goal were MIN 26, NSH 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.4 goals below expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pekka Rinne (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Miikka Salomaki (1 G), 3. Calle Jarnkrok (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    P. Rinne26 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NSH
    M. Salomaki1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    C. Jarnkrok1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0130508026
NSHNSH042928421

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Salomaki(1)
    C. Sissons (3), R. Josi (6)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    0:37
  2. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(2)
    V. Arvidsson (4), R. Johansen (6)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    19:31

3rd period

  1. NSH
    C. Smith(1)
    N. Bonino (4), R. Grimaldi (3)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +5 pts
    0-3
    6:58
  2. NSH
    C. Sissons(4)SHG
    M. Ekholm (4)
    backhandxG 0.22
    0-4
    16:53

Penalties

MIN 2 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

3rd

  • 9:32NSHRyan Johansen · Slashingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 12:17MINEric Staal · Roughingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 15:17NSHMiikka Salomaki · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Dumont2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalMIN goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Calle Jarnkrok, 2nd 19:31 — NSH 75% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Sissons · Goal · xG 0.22C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.17C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.16C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.15V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.14N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.08C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.05R. Grimaldi · Missed · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · Goal · xG 0.04R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Salomaki · Goal · xG 0.03M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.02C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · Missed · xG 0.01M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · Missed · xG 0.01
NSH4 G · 1.6 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsNSH
1.70 G
All situations
4 G1.6
1.40 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN53%47%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 1.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsNSH
26
Shots on goal
21
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
14
14
Blocked shots
15
4
Giveaways
16
10
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000-310.01130—24:13
24M. DumbaD000-120.06010—22:42
46J. SpurgeonD000-320.15010—22:03
25J. BrodinD000-130.19020—19:57
12E. StaalC000-110.050022219:32
19L. KuninC000030.221003317:14
36M. ZuccarelloR000-120.14000—17:11
77B. HuntD000010.03010—16:57
16J. ZuckerL000-430.33000—16:29
11Z. PariseL000-300.0000010016:01
9M. KoivuC000-340.180106115:36
17M. FolignoL000010.17510—14:24
21C. SoucyD000000.02100—14:08
28G. DumontC000010.104104013:09
38R. HartmanR000010.00020—13:03
26G. MayhewC000000.00000012:46
6R. DonatoC000000.04000011:36
49V. RaskC000010.011104511:04
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(L)21174.8101.61-2.3959:55

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).