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Montréal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
3
Minnesota Wild
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-N·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Parise's goal at 12:54 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were MTL 33, MIN 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.3 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Zucker (1 G, 1 A), 2. Zach Parise (1 G), 3. Brad Hunt (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Zucker1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    Z. Parise1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    B. Hunt1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL07212114333
MINMIN1191925433

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    J. Zucker(3)PPG
    M. Koivu (3), R. Suter (4)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +5 pts
    0-1
    8:57

2nd period

  1. MTL
    T. Tatar(3)PPG
    J. Petry (4), M. Domi (6)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    2:50
  2. MTL
    P. Danault(3)
    P. Byron (2)
    deflectedxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    3:06
  3. MIN
    M. Foligno(1)
    E. Staal (2), L. Kunin (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    19:45

3rd period

  1. MTL
    P. Danault(4)
    B. Gallagher (5)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +26 pts
    3-2
    3:22
  2. MIN
    B. Hunt(3)PPG
    M. Dumba (2), J. Greenway (3)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    8:38
  3. MIN
    Z. Parise(3)
    J. Zucker (1), M. Koivu (4)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +35 pts
    3-4
    12:54

Penalties

MTL 10 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:13MTLArtturi Lehkonen · High sticking double minordrawn by Ryan Hartman4 min
  • 18:14MTLBrett Kulak · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

2nd

  • 1:34MINMathew Dumba · Interferencedrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 16:28MTLBen Chiarot · High stickingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min

3rd

  • 8:31MTLPaul Byron · Holdingdrawn by Carson Soucy2 min
  • 8:47MINMathew Dumba · Cross checkingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalMTL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Parise, 3rd 12:54 — MIN 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.19L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.16E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.15G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.12G. Dumont · On goal · xG 0.12M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.11R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.11R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.11J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.10J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.09J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.09L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.07M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.07B. Hunt · Goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.06L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.05R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.05C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.05C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.04M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.03C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.02R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02G. Dumont · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.00J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.00E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.7 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsMIN
2.23 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.02 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.21 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL41%59%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsMIN
33
Shots on goal
33
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/2
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
10
13
Blocked shots
17
4
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD011+150.33200—26:38
6S. WeberD000040.08130—22:51
17B. KulakD000+120.06132—18:42
8B. ChiarotD000-220.03212—18:38
24P. DanaultC202+130.120004117:25
53V. MeteD000010.01030—17:22
62A. LehkonenL000010.1911410016:49
11B. GallagherR011+120.26000—16:46
13M. DomiC011-120.020005016:46
90T. TatarL101040.48000—16:25
92J. DrouinL000000.05000—15:09
43J. WealC000010.060105015:06
20C. FleuryD000-120.07400—14:07
41P. ByronL011+100.00002—13:50
15J. KotkaniemiC000010.081004613:40
44N. ThompsonC000-100.001005613:20
14N. SuzukiC000010.250105012:00
21N. CousinsC000020.12100009:09
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37K. Kinkaid(L)33294.8792.70-1.3058:24

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).