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Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks

Final/OTTV NBCSCH, SN1·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-2 in overtime, Mark Scheifele scoring at 0:47. The Jets came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 0:47 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were WPG 33, CHI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Robin Lehner stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (1 G), 2. Kyle Connor (1 A), 3. Brandon Saad (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    B. Saad1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG01011111111333
CHICHI2130601000229

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    B. Saad(1)SHG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:02
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    12:37

2nd period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(2)PPG
    slapxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    7:05

3rd period

  1. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +32 pts
    2-2
    11:44

Overtime

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    0:47

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·CHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:18CHIZack Smith · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 11:00WPGAdam Lowry · High stickingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min

2nd

  • 0:48WPGBlake Wheeler · Hookingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
  • 5:27CHIDuncan Keith · Slashingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 8:30CHIDylan Strome · Slashingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min

3rd

  • 14:48CHIBrandon Saad · Trippingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalWPG goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, OT 0:47 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.39A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.37R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.21A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.21A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.19D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.17A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.15B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.14D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.14D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.12B. Seabrook · Goal · xG 0.11D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.10C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.09R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.08P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.03J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.03C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.02J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.01O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.01A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.00C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.00D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.00A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 2.9 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCHI
2.63 G
All situations
2 G2.9
2.22 G
Even strength
0 G2.4
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG45%55%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCHI
33
Shots on goal
29
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
29
Hits
36
15
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
18
12
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD011010.05020—24:21
26B. WheelerR011010.00412—22:45
55M. ScheifeleC101030.351004322:16
29P. LaineL000-120.11010—20:45
4N. PionkD011+110.04200—20:18
81K. ConnorL011070.68100—18:57
3T. PoolmanD000010.04010—18:49
7D. KulikovD000020.08200—17:49
9A. CoppC101+120.193005717:32
27N. EhlersL112+130.30000—16:46
23C. DahlstromD000+110.01220—16:36
2A. BitettoD000010.01510—15:32
85M. PerreaultC000010.04100014:30
28J. RoslovicC011020.210005813:20
82M. AppletonC000010.23220011:02
17A. LowryC000020.015225009:59
22M. LetestuC000010.280205009:01
57G. BourqueL000010.02110—08:30
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)29272.9312.94+0.9460:43

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).