Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 7:24 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were ANA 32, PIT 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. John Gibson stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Matt Murray stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matt Murray (31 saves, .969), 3. John Gibson (26 saves, .929).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals2nd period
0-12:57
1-13:27
3rd period
1-27:24
Penalties
1st
- 2:39
Hampus Lindholm · Slashingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min
- 5:03
Korbinian Holzer · Fightingdrawn by Teddy Blueger5 min
- 5:03
Teddy Blueger · Instigatordrawn by Korbinian Holzer2 min
- 5:03
Teddy Blueger · Fightingdrawn by Korbinian Holzer5 min
- 5:03
Teddy Blueger · Misconduct10 min
- 14:01
served by A. Agozzino · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 19:00
Max Jones · Slashingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min
2nd
- 2:49
Josh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
- 5:21
Josh Manson · Hookingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
- 6:20
Adam Henrique · High stickingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
- 19:11
Derek Grant · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
3rd
- 10:02
Zachary Aston-Reese · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 3rd 7:24 — 52% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.71 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.2
- 1.51 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.5
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.5
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 2.24
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/6
- 17
- Penalty minutes
- 21
- 41
- Hits
- 37
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 9
- Giveaways
- 9
- 11
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
1@
2this game
2@
3Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
