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Kings at Oilers
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Los Angeles Kings
5
Edmonton Oilers
▸6
FinalTV FS-W, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Los Angeles Kings 6-5. The lead changed hands 5 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darnell Nurse's goal at 10:10 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 19% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were LAK 32, EDM 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 2.9 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. James Neal (2 G), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 3 A), 3. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    J. Neal2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK38011213532
EDMEDM21011437631

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(2)
    L. Draisaitl (3), O. Klefbom (1)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:53
  2. LAK
    D. Brown(1)
    A. Kopitar (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:13
  3. LAK
    T. Lewis(1)
    K. Clifford (1)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    9:05
  4. EDM
    J. Neal(1)PPG
    C. McDavid (1), O. Klefbom (2)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
    2-2
    10:23
  5. LAK
    A. Kopitar(1)
    D. Brown (1), B. Hutton (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    14:49

2nd period

  1. EDM
    Z. Kassian(2)
    L. Draisaitl (4), C. McDavid (2)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    4:51

3rd period

  1. LAK
    M. Amadio(1)
    K. Clifford (2), T. Lewis (1)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +26 pts
    4-3
    3:26
  2. EDM
    J. Nygard(1)
    G. Haas (1)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +21 pts
    4-4
    5:24
  3. LAK
    D. Doughty(1)PPG
    I. Kovalchuk (1), A. Kopitar (2)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +26 pts
    5-4
    8:19
  4. EDM
    D. Nurse(1)
    T. Jurco (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +33 pts
    5-5
    10:10
  5. EDM
    J. Neal(2)PPG
    C. McDavid (3), O. Klefbom (3)
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +29 pts
    5-6
    13:28

Penalties

LAK 12 PIM·EDM 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:04LAKDrew Doughty · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 9:28LAKJeff Carter · Trippingdrawn by Joakim Nygard2 min
  • 19:51LAKAlec Martinez · Holdingdrawn by Jujhar Khaira2 min

2nd

  • 5:31EDMMatt Benning · Slashingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min
  • 16:57LAKAnze Kopitar · High stickingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

3rd

  • 4:07EDMConnor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Sean Walker2 min
  • 5:22LAKDustin Brown · Interferencedrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 5:47EDMEthan Bear · Holdingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 7:14EDMserved by J. Persson · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:37LAKSean Walker · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 19:14EDMJames Neal · Trippingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalLAK goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Darnell Nurse, 3rd 10:10 — EDM 19% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.34J. Neal · Goal · xG 0.28L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.28J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.20J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.19Z. Kassian · Goal · xG 0.18J. Neal · Goal · xG 0.17C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.16R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.14D. Nurse · Goal · xG 0.13J. Nygard · Goal · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09P. Russell · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.08Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05J. Nygard · Missed · xG 0.05G. Haas · Missed · xG 0.04O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03G. Haas · On goal · xG 0.03J. Nygard · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02J. Persson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01J. Nygard · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.01J. Persson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Persson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.00M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM6 G · 3.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsEDM
2.75 G
All situations
6 G3.1
1.84 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
0.81 G
Power play
2 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK44%56%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 3.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsEDM
32
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/5
Power play
2/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
33
Hits
26
12
Blocked shots
18
16
Giveaways
19
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
11A. KopitarC123+140.531126723:55
8D. DoughtyD101020.15632—23:47
27A. MartinezD000000.00212—20:53
23D. BrownR112+130.37102—20:42
26S. WalkerD000020.06212—20:23
19A. IafalloL000+110.05000—19:10
15B. HuttonD011+100.00300—18:50
77J. CarterC000-320.080026715:32
33T. BjornfotD000-100.00000—15:02
17I. KovalchukL011-210.05000—14:59
3M. RoyD000020.02440—14:44
10M. AmadioR101+220.190004014:28
73T. ToffoliC000-120.12400014:21
9A. KempeR000-250.542002214:11
22T. LewisC112+220.26410012:42
51A. WagnerL000030.20300—10:34
46B. LizotteC000000.001105010:26
13K. CliffordL022+210.09000—07:26
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)31256.8063.10-2.9058:09

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).