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Canucks at Predators
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
2
Nashville Predators
▸3
FinalTV FS-TN, SNP·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-2. The Predators came back from two goals down. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Johansen's goal at 19:39 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 51% to 98%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.4 to 2.4; shots on goal were VAN 32, NSH 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Pekka Rinne stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Ryan Johansen (1 G), 2. Nick Bonino (1 G, 1 A), 3. Austin Watson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Johansen1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    N. Bonino1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    A. Watson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN2160808232
NSHNSH09112212333

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    M. Granlund(12)PPG
    Q. Hughes (2), T. Pearson (9)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    8:49
  2. VAN
    T. Pearson(17)PPG
    Q. Hughes (3), R. Spooner (6)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    19:48

2nd period

  1. NSH
    C. Sissons(14)
    N. Bonino (17), A. Watson (7)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    0:37

3rd period

  1. NSH
    N. Bonino(16)
    A. Watson (8), R. Ellis (33)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +39 pts
    2-2
    15:40
  2. NSH
    R. Johansen(14)
    F. Forsberg (21)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +46 pts
    2-3
    19:39

Penalties

VAN 4 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:50NSHWayne Simmonds · Hookingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 17:59NSHserved by K. Turris · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 6:36VANQuinn Hughes · Hookingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 10:21VANElias Pettersson · Holdingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalVAN goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Johansen, 3rd 19:39 — NSH 51% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.25M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.22R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.19N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.17R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.15V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.15F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.15C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.15R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.13V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.13W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.12D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.11A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.11M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.10C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.10K. Turris · Missed · xG 0.09C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.09C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sissons · Goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.06K. Turris · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.03C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.00B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.00R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 3.4 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsNSH
2.42 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.80 G
Even strength
3 G3.2
0.62 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN34%66%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 3.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsNSH
32
Shots on goal
33
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
17
9
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. EdlerD000-230.12120—27:36
51T. StecherD000-200.03030—23:08
53B. HorvatC000030.390003319:16
27B. HuttonD000-130.11010—18:54
43Q. HughesD022020.02102—18:24
70T. PearsonL112030.27100—18:10
6B. BoeserR000-170.61110—18:04
21L. ErikssonL000-110.13000—17:37
2L. SchennD000000.00320—16:16
40E. PetterssonC000-110.06012016:13
15R. SpoonerC011-100.0000010015:43
17J. LeivoL000-130.20010—15:35
88A. GaudetteR000-100.002005014:00
18J. VirtanenR000-100.07200—13:23
3B. RaffertyD000-110.00000—12:03
83J. BeagleC000-120.111006711:34
60M. GranlundC101010.1300010011:25
59T. SchallerL000-120.13100—08:59
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)33303.9093.41+0.4159:40

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).