Skip to content
Wild at Hurricanes
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-N·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Minnesota Wild 5-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Staal's goal at 3:06 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were MIN 25, CAR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 2.3 goals below expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jordan Staal (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brett Pesce (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Pesce1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0711107125
CARCAR01121339533

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(9)
    J. Faulk (23), T. Teravainen (50)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    3:06
  2. CAR
    B. Pesce(7)
    J. Williams (26), S. Aho (50)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    5:32
  3. MIN
    E. Staal(21)PPG
    K. Fiala (26), J. Spurgeon (28)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    8:57

3rd period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(19)
    T. Teravainen (51), J. Staal (13)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    3:27
  2. CAR
    L. Wallmark(10)
    M. Ferland (20), J. Martinook (8)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    9:09
  3. CAR
    T. Teravainen(19)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.17
    1-5
    11:12

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·CAR 12 PIM

1st

  • 6:56CARWarren Foegele · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:03MINAnthony Bitetto · Interferencedrawn by Justin Williams2 min

2nd

  • 5:56CARMicheal Ferland · High sticking double minordrawn by Anthony Bitetto4 min
  • 12:59CARJordan Martinook · Slashingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

3rd

  • 3:59MINRyan Suter · Trippingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 17:22CARBrett Pesce · Cross checkingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
  • 17:22MINLuke Kunin · Cross checkingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 20:00CARJordan Martinook · Slashingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalMIN goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Staal, 2nd 3:06 — CAR 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.29A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.24L. Wallmark · Goal · xG 0.19T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.19T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.17M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.15A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.14A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.11T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.11J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.09W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.06B. Pesce · Goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.05W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.00D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.00M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.00S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 2.7 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCAR
1.81 G
All situations
5 G2.7
1.20 G
Even strength
5 G2.3
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN31%69%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCAR
25
Shots on goal
33
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/4
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
12
34
Hits
26
13
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
17
11
Takeaways
21

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000-230.06312—24:40
46J. SpurgeonD011-210.07420—24:40
25J. BrodinD000020.22110—19:55
77B. HuntD000020.03220—18:44
19L. KuninC000-230.180024518:39
18J. GreenwayL000-210.07110—17:46
16J. ZuckerL000-210.09000—16:58
29G. PaterynD000-300.00410—16:26
22K. FialaL011-120.23100—16:13
12E. StaalC101-220.180106715:23
6R. DonatoC000-200.00400014:27
49V. RaskC000010.183005013:59
10M. ReadR000-120.13100—13:41
26P. AbergL000-100.06000—13:24
2A. BitettoD000-310.10332—13:07
17M. FolignoL000010.12310—12:24
21E. FehrC000-110.030004011:52
23J. BrownR000-120.03400—11:42
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(L)33285.8482.75-2.2560:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).