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Utah Mammoth at Florida Panthers

FinalTV FS-A PLUS, FS-F·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The Coyotes scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 19:45 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 38% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were ARI 34, FLA 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.4 goals below expected; Roberto Luongo stopped 32 of 34 (.941). Three stars: 1. MacKenzie Weegar (1 G), 2. Keith Yandle (1 A), 3. Jonathan Huberdeau (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Weegar1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    K. Yandle1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI11206116234
FLAFLA191627422

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:45
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:45

2nd period

  1. FLA
    M. Hoffman(34)PPG
    slapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    10:55

3rd period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    5:09
  2. ARI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +5 pts
    2-3
    17:34
  3. FLA
    A. Barkov(34)EN
    backhandxG 0.91win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    19:10

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:37ARIJakob Chychrun · Hookingdrawn by Henrik Borgstrom2 min

2nd

  • 4:17ARINiklas Hjalmarsson · Interferencedrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 9:52ARIserved by C. Garland · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:05FLAMike Hoffman · Trippingdrawn by Alex Goligoski2 min
  • 17:38FLAVincent Trocheck · Cross checkingdrawn by Mario Kempe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalARI goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, 1st 19:45 — FLA 38% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.91E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.47M. Weegar · Goal · xG 0.13M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.12R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.12J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.11J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.10H. Borgstrom · Missed · xG 0.10M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.09F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.08T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.08A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.05R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04H. Borgstrom · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.00J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.00F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.00A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 2.9 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsFLA
1.92 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI57%43%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.87 – 1.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsFLA
34
Shots on goal
22
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
34
Hits
30
11
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
24
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000020.05400—23:23
6J. ChychrunD000-120.24422—21:20
82J. OesterleD000-120.09120—20:48
9C. KellerR000030.230002520:02
4N. HjalmarssonD000+110.01112—19:52
55J. DemersD000020.04130—18:29
33A. GoligoskiD000-120.03320—17:10
17A. GalchenyukC000-110.160006716:52
18C. DvorakC000020.031004216:07
15B. RichardsonR112020.133005615:53
14R. PanikR000020.15310—15:51
13V. HinostrozaC000020.013003315:40
25N. CousinsC000-120.130003014:23
83C. GarlandR000-230.12000—14:19
40M. GrabnerL101030.32000—13:28
67L. CrouseL000000.06300—12:30
45J. ArchibaldR000000.00300—11:40
29M. KempeR000030.084006709:21
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)21183.8571.57-1.4357:56

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).