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Senators at Canucks
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
4
Vancouver Canucks
▸7
FinalTV SNP, TSN5·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Ottawa Senators 7-4. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tanner Pearson's goal at 0:32 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 69% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.4 to 1.3; shots on goal were OTT 25, VAN 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 33 of 39 (.846), 3.0 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (2 G, 1 A), 2. Loui Eriksson (1 G, 3 A), 3. Tanner Pearson (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Horvat2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    L. Eriksson1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    T. Pearson2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0706412425
VANVAN11431937740

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    B. Horvat(26)PPG
    A. Edler (18), E. Pettersson (35)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    14:06

2nd period

  1. VAN
    T. Pearson(12)
    A. Biega (12), L. Eriksson (14)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:32
  2. VAN
    J. Virtanen(14)
    J. Beagle (8)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    5:56
  3. VAN
    B. Boeser(24)PPG
    A. Edler (19), E. Pettersson (36)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    17:00

3rd period

  1. VAN
    T. Pearson(13)
    B. Horvat (30), L. Eriksson (15)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    0:57
  2. OTT
    M. Veronneau(1)
    D. DeMelo (14), J. Pageau (6)
    tip-inxG 0.06
    1-5
    8:54
  3. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(17)
    J. Pageau (7), R. Balcers (6)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    9:59
  4. OTT
    O. Lindberg(9)
    B. Ryan (25), D. DeMelo (15)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    3-5
    13:42
  5. OTT
    A. Duclair(15)PPG
    D. DeMelo (16), C. Tierney (37)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +6 pts
    4-5
    18:01
  6. VAN
    B. Horvat(27)
    A. Edler (20), L. Eriksson (16)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +6 pts
    4-6
    18:53
  7. VAN
    L. Eriksson(11)EN
    T. Pearson (8)
    wristxG 0.43
    4-7
    19:20

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·VAN 2 PIM

1st

  • 13:35OTTCody Ceci · Holdingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min

2nd

  • 16:25OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau · Boardingdrawn by Ashton Sautner2 min

3rd

  • 5:42OTTBrady Tkachuk · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 16:15VANTyler Motte · Slashingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalOTT goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Tanner Pearson, 2nd 0:32 — VAN 69% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Eriksson · Goal · xG 0.43L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.21M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.16T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.16L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.14B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.12B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.10T. Schaller · On goal · xG 0.10A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.10A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.10J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.10T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.09G. Brisebois · On goal · xG 0.09B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.08T. Schaller · On goal · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Virtanen · Goal · xG 0.06A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.06B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.06A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.05B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.05B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.05J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.05B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.05T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.04T. Schaller · On goal · xG 0.04J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.04B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.04A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.04T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.03J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.03J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.02A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.02T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.02G. Brisebois · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Biega · Missed · xG 0.01A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.01A. Sautner · Missed · xG 0.01G. Brisebois · Missed · xG 0.01
VAN7 G · 3.4 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsVAN
1.34 G
All situations
6 G3.4
1.03 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.11 G
Power play
2 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT20%80%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.28 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsVAN
25
Shots on goal
40
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/1
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
25
Hits
21
17
Blocked shots
11
6
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. DeMeloD033020.02150—29:37
86C. WolaninD000-130.06000—24:03
67B. HarpurD000-210.01210—21:29
74M. BorowieckiD000010.09230—20:02
83C. JarosD000-100.00220—18:10
44J. PageauC022-200.112023717:53
24O. LindbergL101030.273004217:37
7B. TkachukL101-250.117022516:56
38R. BalcersL011+100.00010—16:37
15Z. SmithC000-120.124004316:20
71C. TierneyC011010.020006314:18
14M. VeronneauR101-120.10000—14:14
9B. RyanR011-130.11010—14:03
10A. DuclairL101-110.06100—13:37
89M. BoedkerL000010.02000—13:04
56M. PaajarviL000000.17110—12:40
17B. GibbonsC000000.000203311:19
5C. CeciD000000.00012—04:59
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(L)39336.8462.98-3.0259:56

Season series

VAN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).