Florida Panthers at Dallas Stars
Recap
written from the game dataThe Dallas Stars beat the Florida Panthers 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Radulov's goal at 10:32 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.1 to 1.2; shots on goal were FLA 22, DAL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Ben Bishop stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alexander Radulov (2 G, 1 A), 2. Aleksander Barkov (2 G), 3. Tyler Seguin (4 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Radulov2 G, 1 A

- ★★A. Barkov2 G

- ★★★T. Seguin4 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-02:11
1-117:49
2nd period
1-210:38
2-216:57
3rd period
2-310:32
2-419:20
Penalties
1st
- 18:59
Aleksander Barkov · Trippingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
2nd
- 2:43
Jamie Oleksiak · Holdingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
- 10:06
Henrik Borgstrom · Trippingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
- 16:17
Tyler Seguin · Delaying game2 min
- 18:11
MacKenzie Weegar · Hookingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
3rd
- 6:33
Esa Lindell · Interferencedrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alexander Radulov, 3rd 10:32 — 52% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.22 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.1
- 0.81 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.2
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.21 – 2.73
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 10
- Hits
- 16
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 15
- Giveaways
- 15
- 5
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
DAL leads 2-0
3@
0Final
2@
4this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
