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Flyers at Maple Leafs
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
6
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸7
FinalTV NBCSP+, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Philadelphia Flyers 7-6. The Maple Leafs came back from three goals down. The Flyers led 5-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 15:00 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 5.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 29, TOR 51. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 44 of 51 (.863), 2.3 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 23 of 29 (.793), 3.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (2 G), 2. James van Riemsdyk (3 G), 3. Jake Muzzin (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk3 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    J. Muzzin2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI1114919629
TORTOR119316316751

Scoring

13 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    J. Voracek(19)
    N. Patrick (16)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:22
  2. TOR
    P. Marleau(15)PPG
    W. Nylander (15), J. Muzzin (27)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    17:45

2nd period

  1. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(22)
    R. Gudas (14), N. Patrick (17)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    1:15
  2. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(23)
    C. Giroux (54), S. Couturier (38)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    8:26
  3. TOR
    Z. Hyman(17)
    M. Marner (61), R. Hainsey (16)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    9:27
  4. PHI
    R. Gudas(3)
    R. Hagg (14), S. Couturier (39)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    12:29
  5. PHI
    S. Gostisbehere(7)
    C. Giroux (55), T. Konecny (23)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +10 pts
    5-2
    13:27
  6. TOR
    J. Muzzin(7)
    R. Hainsey (17), N. Kadri (23)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +9 pts
    5-3
    16:08
  7. TOR
    J. Muzzin(8)
    C. Brown (19), N. Zaitsev (9)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    5-4
    18:11

3rd period

  1. TOR
    M. Marincin(1)
    N. Kadri (24), J. Holl (1)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +25 pts
    5-5
    2:55
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(33)
    W. Nylander (16)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +38 pts
    5-6
    15:00
  3. TOR
    A. Matthews(34)
    A. Johnsson (20), N. Zaitsev (10)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +6 pts
    5-7
    17:21
  4. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(24)
    C. Giroux (56), S. Gostisbehere (27)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +3 pts
    6-7
    18:46

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·TOR 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:11PHIPhilippe Myers · Interferencedrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 17:22PHITravis Sanheim · Slashingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

2nd

  • 1:44PHIRadko Gudas · Holdingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 10:42PHITravis Sanheim · Slashingdrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min
  • 10:42TORAndreas Johnsson · Slashingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 18:49TORWilliam Nylander · High stickingdrawn by Nolan Patrick2 min

3rd

  • 3:49PHIJakub Voracek · Trippingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 8:14TORserved by N. Kadri · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalPHI goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, 3rd 15:00 — TOR 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.61T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.51A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.19J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.19W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.18A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.17P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.17P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.13M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.12W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.12A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.11W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.11J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.10M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.09P. Marleau · Goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.08W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.08A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07F. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06M. Marincin · Goal · xG 0.06A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Holl · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.06A. Johnsson · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.05N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.05W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.05J. Muzzin · Goal · xG 0.04M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.03J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Johnsson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hainsey · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · Goal · xG 0.01J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.00J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR7 G · 5.4 xG · 70 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsTOR
2.56 G
All situations
7 G5.4
1.86 G
Even strength
6 G3.6
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 111 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI19%81%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 4.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsTOR
29
Shots on goal
51
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
11
26
Blocked shots
8
18
Giveaways
21
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-320.18220—23:49
28C. GirouxR033+230.410104323:05
14S. CouturierC022+220.020004422:58
93J. VoracekR101+110.08002—21:55
6T. SanheimD000-210.06244—20:33
25J. van RiemsdykL303+560.56010—18:53
19N. PatrickC022+210.241003518:23
23O. LindblomL000-210.04110—18:02
3R. GudasD112-120.06252—17:56
11T. KonecnyR011-220.20010—17:16
53S. GostisbehereD112+330.26120—15:52
8R. HaggD011000.02250—15:09
21S. LaughtonC000-310.062206014:37
61P. MyersD000+110.04022—13:08
47A. MacDonaldD000+100.00000—10:27
12M. RafflL000-310.20000—10:08
10C. KnightC000-110.050004006:58
44P. VaroneC000010.01000004:26
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(L)51447.8634.75-2.2558:02

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).