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New Jersey Devils at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV NBCSN, SN1·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Devils led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Quenneville's goal at 12:49 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 67% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were NJD 35, EDM 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Cory Schneider stopped 36 of 39 (.923); Mikko Koskinen stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kenny Agostino (1 G, 1 A), 2. Damon Severson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor McDavid (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    K. Agostino1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    D. Severson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD29313113635
EDMEDM21318018339

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    7:34
  2. EDM
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:37
  3. EDM
    deflectedxG 0.27win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    14:22
  4. NJD
    T. Zajac(17)PPG
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +11 pts
    2-2
    19:41

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    6:23
  2. NJD
    slapxG 0.01win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    12:49
  3. NJD
    snapxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    5-2
    16:32
  4. EDM
    slapxG 0.09win prob +6 pts
    5-3
    19:19

3rd period

  1. NJD
    B. Coleman(21)SHG
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +5 pts
    6-3
    12:06

Penalties

NJD 17 PIM·EDM 15 PIM

1st

  • 3:09EDMMilan Lucic · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis Gabriel5 min
  • 3:09NJDKurtis Gabriel · Fightingdrawn by Milan Lucic5 min
  • 5:30NJDColton White · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 12:30NJDDrew Stafford · Trippingdrawn by Jujhar Khaira2 min
  • 19:08EDMAlex Chiasson · Slashingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

2nd

  • 5:16EDMOscar Klefbom · Holding the stickdrawn by Travis Zajac2 min
  • 16:42EDMKris Russell · Slashingdrawn by Kurtis Gabriel2 min
  • 16:42NJDKurtis Gabriel · Cross checkingdrawn by Kris Russell2 min
  • 18:00EDMDarnell Nurse · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
  • 19:12NJDDamon Severson · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min

3rd

  • 11:39NJDWill Butcher · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:33NJDBlake Coleman · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 19:04EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Slashingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalNJD goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: John Quenneville, 2nd 12:49 — NJD 67% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Chiasson · Goal · xG 0.27R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.21A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.21A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.20L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.15C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.10D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.10K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.09K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.09M. Benning · Goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.05J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.05K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gagner · Goal · xG 0.04K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.04J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.03C. Cave · On goal · xG 0.03A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.03M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.03A. Sekera · Missed · xG 0.03K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.03C. Cave · On goal · xG 0.03M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.01A. Sekera · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01J. Currie · On goal · xG 0.01T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 3.4 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsEDM
2.56 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.42 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD35%65%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 3.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsEDM
35
Shots on goal
39
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/4
Power play
1/5
17
Penalty minutes
15
25
Hits
31
23
Blocked shots
9
7
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD112+340.15102—23:51
6A. GreeneD022+110.01070—22:05
8W. ButcherD011010.03112—21:53
5C. CarrickD011-110.04130—19:01
56B. PietilaL000030.113004718:37
16S. SantiniD000+120.04430—18:35
19T. ZajacC101+110.250207618:01
20B. ColemanL101030.46012—17:05
21K. PalmieriC011030.1800010015:48
58K. RooneyC112+110.131004715:22
18D. StaffordR011010.150325015:12
17K. AgostinoL112+120.12200—14:28
47J. QuennevilleC101+130.06110014:06
68C. WhiteD000+110.04202—13:10
49J. AndersonR000020.07200—12:40
23S. NoesenR000030.42210—11:43
41M. McLeodC000030.221003309:56
39K. GabrielR011+100.00417—06:35
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. Schneider(W)39363.9233.37+0.3760:00

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).