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Senators at Flyers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Philadelphia Flyers
▸3
FinalTV NBCSP, TSN5·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2. The Senators scored first; the Flyers answered. The Flyers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Raffl's goal at 6:02 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.2 to 1.5; shots on goal were OTT 22, PHI 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Brian Elliott stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Michael Raffl (1 G, 1 A), 2. Scott Laughton (1 G), 3. Sean Couturier (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    M. Raffl1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    S. Laughton1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    S. Couturier1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1605111222
PHIPHI010315011336

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    C. Tierney(8)
    B. Harpur (3), R. Balcers (4)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:48

2nd period

  1. PHI
    O. Lindblom(13)
    S. Couturier (37), S. Gostisbehere (25)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    2:02
  2. PHI
    M. Raffl(6)
    N. Patrick (15)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    6:02
  3. PHI
    S. Laughton(11)
    T. Konecny (22), M. Raffl (12)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    19:23

3rd period

  1. OTT
    F. Chlapik(1)
    Z. Smith (16), T. Chabot (36)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +6 pts
    2-3
    17:03

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 9:26PHIRyan Hartman · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:29OTTMark Borowiecki · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 16:13OTTBobby Ryan · Hookingdrawn by Phil Varone2 min

3rd

  • 1:19PHIRadko Gudas · Holdingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min
  • 2:56OTTFilip Chlapik · Interferencedrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 17:59OTTZack Smith · Trippingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalOTT goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Michael Raffl, 2nd 6:02 — PHI 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Varone · On goal · xG 0.26S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.18S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.17S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.14R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.14O. Lindblom · Goal · xG 0.12M. Raffl · Goal · xG 0.12C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.10T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.09S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.09S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.09P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.08S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.08C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.08O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.08O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.08S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.08I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.08S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.07P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.07S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.06S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.06R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.06N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.06S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.05S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.05I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.05O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.04S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 3.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsPHI
1.52 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.12 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT21%79%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.49 – 3.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsPHI
22
Shots on goal
36
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
24
17
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. CeciD000+140.16200—25:47
72T. ChabotD011010.05030—24:32
2D. DeMeloD000-200.00100—21:50
44J. PageauC000-120.061105320:14
71C. TierneyC101030.191106318:34
86C. WolaninD000010.01230—17:50
7B. TkachukL000050.642007517:15
15Z. SmithC011010.000025016:58
9B. RyanR000020.1502210016:57
38R. BalcersL011010.02100—16:01
56M. PaajarviL000+100.00020—15:24
74M. BorowieckiD000-110.14412—14:54
78F. ChlapikC101+110.11012013:54
67B. HarpurD011000.00210—13:49
10A. DuclairL000-100.00000—13:29
24O. LindbergL000-100.014102010:23
17B. GibbonsC000-100.00000007:41
89M. BoedkerL000-100.00010—07:22
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(L)36333.9173.21+0.2159:06

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).