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Avalanche at Ducks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
Anaheim Ducks
▸2
FinalTV FS-W, ALT·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Colorado Avalanche 2-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cam Fowler's goal at 10:26 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 73% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were COL 26, ANA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.8 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Fowler (1 G), 2. Jakob Silfverberg (1 G, 1 A), 3. Josh Manson.

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    C. Fowler1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Silfverberg1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Manson

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL06010110126
ANAANA1101904223

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(17)
    B. Guhle (1)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:17

2nd period

  1. ANA
    C. Fowler(4)PPG
    R. Rakell (18), J. Silfverberg (9)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    10:26

3rd period

  1. COL
    D. Brassard(12)PPG
    C. Soderberg (21), J. Compher (15)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    4:17

Penalties

COL 21 PIM·ANA 12 PIM

1st

  • 5:24ANAHampus Lindholm · Holdingdrawn by Sven Andrighetto2 min
  • 7:04COLDerick Brassard · Holding the stickdrawn by Ryan Kesler2 min
  • 9:11ANARyan Kesler · Slashingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 18:51ANARyan Kesler · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 8:45COLGabriel Bourque · Hookingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 13:52COLIan Cole · Game misconduct10 min
  • 13:52COLIan Cole · Kneeingdrawn by Devin Shore5 min
  • 16:17COLPatrik Nemeth · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 16:17ANACorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Patrik Nemeth2 min
  • 16:17ANACorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Patrik Nemeth2 min

3rd

  • 4:06ANAJosh Manson · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCOL goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Cam Fowler, 2nd 10:26 — ANA 73% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.20D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.16J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.15R. Kesler · Missed · xG 0.14A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.13R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.12B. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.11R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.10C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.10K. Roy · On goal · xG 0.08A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.08B. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.08M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.08C. Rowney · Missed · xG 0.07B. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.07J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.07R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.06A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.06D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.06T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.06R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.06K. Roy · Missed · xG 0.06C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.05R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.04K. Holzer · On goal · xG 0.04C. Rowney · Missed · xG 0.04C. Fowler · Goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.03B. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.03M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.02B. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 2.7 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsANA
2.31 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.60 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL43%57%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsANA
26
Shots on goal
23
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/4
Power play
1/3
21
Penalty minutes
12
29
Hits
30
20
Blocked shots
15
10
Giveaways
15
10
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6E. JohnsonD000020.21550—24:17
29N. MacKinnonC000020.561005424:11
49S. GirardD000000.00110—23:07
4T. BarrieD000-130.16020—23:03
92G. LandeskogL000060.423203622:49
96M. RantanenR000040.29200—22:05
34C. SoderbergC011-100.012105020:12
37J. CompherL011-110.091105718:41
16N. ZadorovD000000.00410—18:28
12P. NemethD000-120.09122—15:36
18D. BrassardC101020.201021714:01
11M. CalvertL000010.08110—13:50
13A. KerfootC000-120.110005012:55
17T. JostC000000.00110011:36
22C. WilsonC000000.000003308:24
10S. AndrighettoR000010.10010—08:07
28I. ColeD000000.001115—07:21
57G. BourqueL000000.00512—04:18
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)23212.9132.75+0.7558:53

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).