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Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings

Final/OTTV FS-SW, FS-W·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in overtime, Roope Hintz scoring at 3:19. The Stars came back from two goals down. The Kings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roope Hintz's goal at 3:19 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were DAL 33, LAK 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Jonathan Quick stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anze Kopitar (2 G, 1 A), 2. Radek Faksa (1 G), 3. Roope Hintz (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Faksa1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL1101511315433
LAKLAK281130702330

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:57
  2. LAK
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    13:28
  3. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    14:48

2nd period

  1. DAL
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    6:14
  2. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    11:46

3rd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.23win prob +30 pts
    3-3
    9:53

Overtime

  1. DAL
    backhandxG 0.38win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    3:19

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·LAK 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:36LAKDerek Forbort · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 12:49DALTyler Seguin · Trippingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min
  • 19:05LAKAustin Wagner · Trippingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min

2nd

  • 14:42LAKKurtis MacDermid · Roughingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min
  • 16:18DALBrett Ritchie · Interferencedrawn by Dion Phaneuf2 min

3rd

  • 2:36LAKDustin Brown · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Anton Khudobin2 min
  • 5:43DALRoman Polak · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Leipsic2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalDAL goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Roope Hintz, OT 3:19 — DAL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.27A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.19A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.17B. Leipsic · Missed · xG 0.17D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.16B. Leipsic · Goal · xG 0.14J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.13A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.13A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.12M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.12A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.12B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.11S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.10D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.09J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.09J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.07B. Leipsic · Missed · xG 0.07T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.06J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.06S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.05D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.03D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.03D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02K. MacDermid · Missed · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · Missed · xG 0.01D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.01K. MacDermid · On goal · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · Missed · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 3.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsLAK
2.84 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.24 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL43%57%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.74 – 3.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsLAK
33
Shots on goal
30
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
28
15
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
16
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD011-100.05310—26:41
47A. RadulovR011+140.32120—25:00
91T. SeguinC101060.440023524:41
4M. HeiskanenD000+120.05010—24:40
23E. LindellD000-110.01210—24:28
13M. JanmarkC101+220.23010020:16
24R. HintzC101+140.680002219:24
12R. FaksaC101+210.270007219:19
45R. PolakD000+100.00302—18:19
15B. ComeauL022+220.10300—16:31
90J. SpezzaC000010.030104414:48
21B. LovejoyD022+210.02320—14:13
43V. NichushkinR000-110.14110—13:19
38J. L'EsperanceR000030.220106711:27
16J. DickinsonC000-130.221202509:58
42T. FedunD011+120.04220—08:53
25B. RitchieR000-100.00102—06:57
34D. GurianovR000000.00000—06:24
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(W)30273.9003.18+0.1863:19

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).